Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
567
FNUS51 KBUF 222004
FWFBUF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
403 PM EDT Thu May 22 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A nearly stationary surface low spinning just west of Lake Ontario
through this evening will slowly shift east and weaken as it
crosses western NY tonight before ultimately becoming absorbed
by a strengthening coastal low riding up the Atlantic coast
tonight and Friday. The larger coastal low will then pull north
across northern New England by Saturday morning, before
gradually sliding northeast into Canadian Maritimes by Memorial
Day. The overall cool cyclonic flow pattern will continue to
support rainy and cool weather through the end of the work week
into the holiday weekend, however a gradual warming trend will
take place through the holiday weekend, with showery conditions
lessening day by day through Memorial Day.
NYZ201-230800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
403 PM EDT Thu May 22 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 50 80 80 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 41 51 42 57
Max/Min Humidity (%) 100 70 100 60
AM Wind (mph) SE 5 W 7
PM Wind (mph) SE 7 W 6 W 6 W 8
Precip Amount 0.07 0.14 0.09 0.02
Precip Duration 9 11 11 6
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl) 70 4180 70 5950
Transport Wind (kts) SE 15 NW 15 W 14 NW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 1050 62700 980 107100
Dispersion Index 1 63 1 107
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ200-230800-
Southern Tier-
403 PM EDT Thu May 22 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 60 70 60 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 41 51 40 55
Max/Min Humidity (%) 100 59 100 55
AM Wind (mph) W 9 G20 W 9
PM Wind (mph) S 7 W 11 W 9 W 10
Precip Amount 0.10 0.13 0.07 0.02
Precip Duration 10 9 7 5
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl) 5340 70 6220
Transport Wind (kts) SW 15 W 24 W 18 NW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 128160 1260 124400
Dispersion Index 0 128 1 124
Remarks...None.
$$
.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 40s.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
60s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around
50. Highs in the lower 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s.
WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...West around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...South around 5 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$