Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
946
FNUS51 KBUF 110605
FWFBUF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
104 AM EST Tue Nov 11 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A wintry pattern to start the week with below normal temperatures
and brisk winds generating lake effect snow downwind of the eastern
Great Lakes. Favorable areas for accumulating lake snow will be
south of the Lakes through tonight before the flow backs and becomes
northwesterly Tuesday...and then backing further Tuesday night into
Wednesday morning such that a southwest flow will push diminishing
lake snows towards Buffalo and Watertown. Mid to late week warming
will change the bulk of the precipitation back to plain rain as
unsettled weather ends just before the start of the weekend.
NYZ201-110900-
Lake Ontario Plains-
104 AM EST Tue Nov 11 2025
Overnight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Type Snow Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 80 80 70 80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 22 39 24 43
Max/Min Humidity (%) 100 56 100 73
AM Wind (mph) W 10 G23 SW 9
PM Wind (mph) W 12 G24 W 8 G21 SW 9 G21
Precip Amount 0.08 0.11 0.13 0.18
Precip Duration 5 8 8 12
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl) 240 5150 2900
Transport Wind (kts) W 16 W 19 W 14 SW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 3840 97850 0 49300
Dispersion Index 4 98 0 49
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ200-110900-
Southern Tier-
104 AM EST Tue Nov 11 2025
Overnight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Snow Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 80 40 80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 21 37 23 42
Max/Min Humidity (%) 100 52 100 62
AM Wind (mph) W 12 G25 SW 10 G21
PM Wind (mph) W 13 G25 SW 10 G21 W 9 G21
Precip Amount 0.05 0.13 0.03 0.16
Precip Duration 5 9 2 9
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl) 10 5830 3710
Transport Wind (kts) W 16 NW 29 W 14 W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 160 169070 0 77910
Dispersion Index 0 169 0 78
Remarks...None.
$$
.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain and snow showers likely. Lows
in the mid 30s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Highs in the lower 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs around 50.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the lower 40s.
WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West 5 to 10 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$