Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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276
FNUS51 KBUF 130905
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Mainly lake effect rain showers will continue today and into Friday
morning. After a brief period of dry weather Friday and into
Saturday, unsettled weather then returns for the later half of the
weekend. Another round of lake effect showers will follow early in
the week.

NYZ201-132100-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Fri
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain     Frz Rain      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  60           50           30
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       43           25           44
Min/Max Humidity (%)               67          100           61
AM Wind (mph)                W  9 G22                     NW  5
PM Wind (mph)                W  9 G22        NW  6        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.14         0.05         0.01
Precip Duration                     6            2            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         6 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           4270                      3990
Transport Wind (kts)            NW 15        NW 14        NW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               64050            0        47880
Dispersion Index                   64            0           48
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-132100-
Southern Tier-
404 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Fri
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain     Frz Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)                  40           30            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       42           28           43
Min/Max Humidity (%)               55          100           55
AM Wind (mph)                W 11 G22                     NW  6
PM Wind (mph)                W 11 G23         W  8        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.06         0.05         0.00
Precip Duration                     2            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           4850                      4760
Transport Wind (kts)            NW 26        NW 13        NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              126100            0        80920
Dispersion Index                  126            0           81
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the lower 50s.
.SUNDAY...Rain with snow showers likely. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow and rain showers likely. Lows
around 30. Highs in the upper 30s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows around 30. Highs in the lower 40s.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...Light winds.
WIND SATURDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...West 10 to 15 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West around 15 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...West around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$