329
FNUS51 KBUF 182003
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
403 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

.DISCUSSION...
With the area in the warm sector of an approaching system,
temperatures this afternoon have warmed well above normal and what
was experienced the past few days. A few afternoon showers and
thunderstorms will be possible across the area followed by a break
through the evening. Showers with some thunderstorms will move back
into the area overnight tonight an into Saturday morning as a cold
front approaches from the west-northwest. Cooler and drier weather
is expected for Sunday, followed by fluctuating temperatures for
the first half of next week.

NYZ201-190800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
403 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

                              Tonight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy       Mclear
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  60           70           40            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              20           20            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       55           70           34           53
Max/Min Humidity (%)               87           60           90           24
AM Wind (mph)                            SW 12 G31                     NW  6
PM Wind (mph)                S  8 G21     W 13 G31     W 10 G21        NW  6
Precip Amount                    0.05         0.17         0.01         0.00
Precip Duration                     3            8            0
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         7 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        3300           70         5810
Transport Wind (kts)             S 16         W 26         W 23        NW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        85800         1610        69720
Dispersion Index                    0           86            2           70
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-190800-
Southern Tier-
403 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

                              Tonight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy       Mclear
Precip Type                   Showers        Tstms      Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  50           80           50            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0           20            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       57           71           35           56
Max/Min Humidity (%)               84           57           93           27
AM Wind (mph)                            SW 12 G29                     NW  6
PM Wind (mph)               SW 10 G23     W 13 G29     W  9 G22         N  6
Precip Amount                    0.04         0.17         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration                     2           11            1
Precip Begin                     7 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         8 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        4670          310         5000
Transport Wind (kts)             S 17         W 27         W 22         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       126090         6820        50000
Dispersion Index                    0          126            7           50
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the mid 60s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 50s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs around 60.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 60s.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...North around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...East around 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$