502
FNUS51 KBUF 222005
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 PM EDT Fri Aug 22 2025

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will slide off to our east tonight and Saturday. This
will result in warmer temperatures through the first half of the
weekend...along with fair dry weather through most of Saturday. A
cold front will then slowly cross our region Saturday night and
Sunday while bringing showers and scattered thunderstorms. A much
cooler airmass following in the wake of the front will then bring
unsettled conditions and below normal temperatures for the first
half of next week.

NYZ201-230800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 PM EDT Fri Aug 22 2025

                              Tonight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun
Cloud Cover                    Mclear        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None         None        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           70           70
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0           20           50
Min/Max Temp                       55           85           59           80
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           40          100           50
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  5                     SW  6
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        SW  7         S  7        SW  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.14         0.17
Precip Duration                                               8            7
Precip Begin                                               8 PM   Continuing
Precip End                                           Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        6680                      6050
Transport Wind (kts)            SW  4        SW 18        SW 12        SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       120240            0        84700
Dispersion Index                    0          120            0           85
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-230800-
Southern Tier-
404 PM EDT Fri Aug 22 2025

                              Tonight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun
Cloud Cover                    Mclear        Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                      None         None        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           60           60
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0           20           50
Min/Max Temp                       55           83           60           79
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           43          100           51
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  5                     SW  6
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        SW  8        SW  6        SW  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.09         0.10
Precip Duration                                               6            5
Precip Begin                                               8 PM   Continuing
Precip End                                           Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        6660                      6290
Transport Wind (kts)            NE  3        SW 17        SW 10        SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       113220            0        88060
Dispersion Index                    0          113            0           88
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 70.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...South around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...South around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$