323
FNUS51 KBUF 200205
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1004 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025

.DISCUSSION...
An area of low pressure and cold front will approach and cross the
region tonight and Wednesday, with widespread showers and a few
thunderstorms. Dry weather will return late in the week as high
pressure builds into the region.

NYZ201-200800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1004 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  80           70           30            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              20           20            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       55           71           51           77
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           68          100           44
AM Wind (mph)                                SE  6                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                   SE  5         E  7         E  5        NE  5
Precip Amount                    0.49         0.39         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration                     9            4            1
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         9 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        2200                      5580
Transport Wind (kts)            SE 10         E 13         E 12        NE 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        28600            0        55800
Dispersion Index                    0           29            0           56
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-200800-
Southern Tier-
1004 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  80           70           40            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              50           20            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       57           72           56           73
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           72          100           60
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  6                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                    S  7        SE  5      Lgt/Var        NE  5
Precip Amount                    0.32         0.32         0.05         0.00
Precip Duration                     7            4            2
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         4 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        2330                      3290
Transport Wind (kts)             S 11         S  8        NE  9        NE 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        18640            0        32900
Dispersion Index                    0           19            0           33
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 60s.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$