Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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054
FNUS51 KBUF 212333
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
633 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Transition of energy between two surface low pressure systems
this afternoon, will support the surface low over the New
England coastline to retrograde back into the Great Lakes
tonight and Friday before returning to the New England coastline
by Friday night, resulting in cold rain and wet snow. The lower
elevations will see little to no snow accumulation, while the
higher terrain will see a few inches of slushy snow
accumulations this evening through Friday. Lake effect showers
will continue into Sunday morning before petering out late in
the afternoon. However the break in dry weather won`t last long
as the next system will be approaching our doorstep early next
week.

NYZ201-220900-
Lake Ontario Plains-
633 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat
Cloud cover                    Cloudy        Mcldy        Mcldy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)                    100          100           40           80
Precip type                      Rain      Showers      Showers      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       34           45           31           47
AM Wind (mph)                                 N 12                     NW  7
PM Wind (mph)                    N  5        NE 11        NE  5         W 10
Precip amount                    0.53         0.26         0.04         0.05
Precip duration                    12           12            4           10
Precip begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           65          100           71
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        6220                      4080
Transport wind (kt)              N 14        NE 22         N 10         W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       136840            0        81600
Dispersion Index                    0          137            0           82
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-220900-
Southern Tier-
633 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat
Cloud cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy        Mcldy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)                    100          100           70           90
Precip type                 Snow/rain    Snow/rain    Snow/rain      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       30           42           29           45
AM Wind (mph)                                 N 11                     NW  8
PM Wind (mph)                   NW  7         N 10         N  7         W 12
Precip amount                    0.38         0.39         0.10         0.06
Precip duration                    12           12           11           12
Precip begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           70          100           64
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        4410                      4670
Transport wind (kt)             NW 19         N 21         N 12        NW 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        92610            0       102740
Dispersion Index                    0           93            0          103
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the
upper 30s.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers. Highs in
the lower 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 40s.
.TUESDAY...Rain showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers, snow
showers and freezing rain. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...West around 10 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND MONDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...West around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$