Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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859
FNUS51 KBUF 182005
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Broad high pressure will remain across the Northeast through
Tuesday. The potential for at least some showers and thunderstorms
will increase mid week, as a weak surface wave passes through
the region. Dry weather will return late in the week as high
pressure builds into the region.

NYZ201-190800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None         None      Showers        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           50           50
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0           20
Min/Max Temp                       49           82           57           79
Max/Min Humidity (%)               87           38          100           55
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                     SE  5
PM Wind (mph)                   NE  5        SE  5      Lgt/Var        SE  5
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.09         0.10
Precip Duration                                               2            2
Precip Begin                                               8 PM   Continuing
Precip End                                           Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        6500                      3600
Transport Wind (kts)            NE  8         S 10        SE 11         E 11
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        65000            0        39600
Dispersion Index                    0           65            0           40
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-190800-
Southern Tier-
404 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud Cover                    Mclear        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None         None        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           50           50
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0           20           20
Min/Max Temp                       49           81           57           78
Max/Min Humidity (%)               99           42          100           58
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  5                      S  5
PM Wind (mph)                   NE  5         S  6         S  5         S  5
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.08         0.10
Precip Duration                                               2            2
Precip Begin                                               8 PM   Continuing
Precip End                                           Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        6610                      3480
Transport Wind (kts)            NE  7         S 13         S 15         S  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        85930            0        24360
Dispersion Index                    0           86            0           24
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...North around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$