Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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838
FNUS51 KBUF 130805
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure along the eastern seaboard will spread clouds back into
most of the region today, with a few showers from the Finger Lakes
to east of Lake Ontario, while Western NY stays mainly dry. The
showers over eastern portions of the area will persist into tonight
before ending by Tuesday morning as high pressure builds into the
eastern Great Lakes. A cold front will move south across the area
Tuesday night, ushering in seasonably cool and mainly dry weather
for the second half of the week.

NYZ201-132000-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Tue
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                   Showers         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  50            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       62           46           67
Min/Max Humidity (%)               57          100           50
AM Wind (mph)                   NE  6                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                   NE  8      Lgt/Var        NW  5
Precip Amount                    0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     6
Precip Begin                     6 AM
Precip End                       6 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           3010                      3530
Transport Wind (kts)             E 13         E  8         N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               39130            0        31770
Dispersion Index                   39            0           32
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-132000-
Southern Tier-
404 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Tue
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                   Showers         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  40            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       62           44           65
Min/Max Humidity (%)               55          100           46
AM Wind (mph)                   NE  6                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                   NE  8        NE  5         N  6
Precip Amount                    0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     3
Precip Begin                     6 AM
Precip End                       6 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           3540                      3820
Transport Wind (kts)            NE 14        NE  9         N 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               49560            0        49660
Dispersion Index                   50            0           50
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper
50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...North around 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...North 5 to 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$