689
FNUS51 KBUF 070805
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A sharp cold front will slowly ease its way south across our area
this afternoon and evening...and in the process will generate some
desperately-needed beneficial rainfall. In its wake...strong
Canadian high pressure will build across our region Wednesday and
Thursday and provide us with dry weather...along with the coolest
temperatures of the fall so far. Expect highs mainly in the 50s both
Wednesday and Thursday...with Wednesday and Thursday nights both
likely to feature a frost or freeze across many areas away from the
immediate lakeshores. Continued dry weather and a gradual warming
trend will then follow for Friday and the weekend as the high slides
off the New England coast.

NYZ201-072000-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy       Mclear
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms         None
Chance Precip (%)                  90          100            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              50           20            0
Max/Min Temp                       72           45           61
Min/Max Humidity (%)               61          100           42
AM Wind (mph)                    S  7                      N  7
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  8         W  7         N  9
Precip Amount                    0.70         0.47         0.00
Precip Duration                     7            6
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         5 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           3080                      6270
Transport Wind (kts)            SW 15         W 12         N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               46200            0       106590
Dispersion Index                   46            0          107
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-072000-
Southern Tier-
404 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy       Mclear
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms         None
Chance Precip (%)                  90          100            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              50           20            0
Max/Min Temp                       72           44           59
Min/Max Humidity (%)               59          100           37
AM Wind (mph)                   SW  7                     NW  7
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  8         W  7         N 10
Precip Amount                    0.41         0.38         0.00
Precip Duration                     8            6
Precip Begin                     7 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         4 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           3400                      6190
Transport Wind (kts)            SW 15         W 11         N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               51000            0       105230
Dispersion Index                   51            0          105
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Areas of frost through the night. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 60s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Northwest around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...East around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$