767
FNUS51 KBUF 200206
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1005 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Fair weather this evening will end briefly as a cold front with
showers and thunderstorms upon it crosses our region tonight and
through Sunday morning...with a few of these storms containing
strong gusty winds tonight. Storm activity will exit the Genesee
Valley and Finger Lakes region early Sunday afternoon and while a
few breaks in the clouds are possible a cool northwest flow will
maintain mostly cloudy skies through the night that may even yield a
few light, brief rain showers across upper terrain south of Lake
Ontario.

NYZ201-200800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1005 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  60           60            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              50           50            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       64           80           54           76
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           51          100           39
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  5                      N  5
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        NW  7        NW  5         N  6
Precip Amount                    0.09         0.13         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     2            2
Precip Begin                     1 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         2 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        4790                      9060
Transport Wind (kts)            SW  4        NW 13        NW 10         N 11
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        62270            0        99660
Dispersion Index                    0           62            0          100
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-200800-
Southern Tier-
1005 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy       Mclear
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  50           50            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              50           50            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       65           80           54           74
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           56          100           42
AM Wind (mph)                                 W  6                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        NW  8      Lgt/Var         N  7
Precip Amount                    0.03         0.11         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     1            2
Precip Begin                     3 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         2 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        5050                      6720
Transport Wind (kts)             W  5        NW 15        NW 10         N 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        75750            0        80640
Dispersion Index                    0           76            0           81
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
mid 80s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 70. Highs in the upper 80s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 80s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
60s. Highs in the mid 80s.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...Light winds.
WIND TUESDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$