327
FNUS51 KBUF 082105
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 PM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Other than a few scattered showers across the Southern Tier, high
pressure will keep mainly dry and cool weather intact across western
and northcentral NY through at least a portion of this evening,
before much more unsettled weather then makes a quick return tonight
and Sunday as another area of low pressure crosses the area. Expect
mainly rain south of Lake Ontario and a possible wintry mix across
the North Country eventually giving way to snow Sunday afternoon and
night as much colder air wraps in behind the departing low. The much
colder airmass will also eventually bring a period of accumulating
lake snows southeast and east of the lakes Monday night and Tuesday.

NYZ201-090900-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 PM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy       Cloudy        Mcldy
Precip Type                Snow/fz Ra   Snow/fz Ra     Frz Rain Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  80          100           90           80
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       31           44           24           35
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           74          100           62
AM Wind (mph)                                NE  6                     NW  7
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var    NE  9 G20         N  7        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.08         0.43         0.18         0.03
Precip Duration                     6           12           12            4
Precip Begin                    10 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        2340                      4030
Transport Wind (kts)            NE  5         E 14        NW 11        NW 11
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        32760            0        44330
Dispersion Index                    0           33            0           44
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-090900-
Southern Tier-
404 PM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      Rain     Frz Rain     Frz Rain Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  70           90           80           60
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       34           47           24           34
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           69          100           54
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                     NW  6
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var         E  7        NW  7        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.07         0.29         0.11         0.02
Precip Duration                     6            8           10            3
Precip Begin                     7 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        2090                      4220
Transport Wind (kts)             E  6         E 10        NW 10        NW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        20900            0        54860
Dispersion Index                    0           21            0           55
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with snow showers likely. Lows in
the lower 20s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow showers likely and a chance of
rain showers. Highs in the upper 30s.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain showers with snow showers likely. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.THURSDAY...Rain showers with snow showers likely. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the mid 40s.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...West around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$