178
FNUS51 KBUF 180305
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1004 PM EST Mon Nov 17 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Deep low pressure over the Canadian Maritimes will withdraw
northward across Labrador through Tuesday, as high pressure and
drier air build into our region. This will result in lingering lake
effect snow showers diminishing from west to east through Tuesday
with only limited additional accumulations, some localized moderate
accumulations are expected east-southeast of Lake Ontario. Low
pressure passing by to our south may bring a few spotty light rain
and snow showers to the Southern Tier Tuesday night, otherwise dry
weather is expected Tuesday night through Thursday.

NYZ201-180900-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1004 PM EST Mon Nov 17 2025

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       24           41           21           43
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           53          100           52
AM Wind (mph)                                 W  6                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                W  7 G22         W  6      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        4180                      4010
Transport Wind (kts)            NW 17         W 14         W  5         W  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        58520            0        24060
Dispersion Index                    0           59            0           24
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-180900-
Southern Tier-
1004 PM EST Mon Nov 17 2025

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       24           40           24           43
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           42          100           45
AM Wind (mph)                                 W  5                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                   NW  9      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        5250                      3930
Transport Wind (kts)            NW 17         W 14        SW  4        NW  4
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        73500            0        15720
Dispersion Index                    0           74            0           16
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the mid 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper
40s.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Light winds.
WIND THURSDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...South 5 to 10 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$