371
FNUS51 KBUF 130205
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1004 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A coastal low slowly moving northward will cause additional clouds
and rain to spread to areas mainly east of the Genesee Valley
tonight into Monday. High pressure will then allow clearing
conditions to expand across the area from the west later Monday and
Monday night. A cold front Tuesday night will then bring a sharp
cooldown through midweek, though remaining mostly dry. Warmer but
unsettled weather then expected by the weekend.

NYZ201-130800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1004 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                              Tonight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                   Showers      Showers      Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  50           40           30            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       44           63           44           68
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           55          100           50
AM Wind (mph)                                 E  6                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                    E  6        NE  7      Lgt/Var        NW  5
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.07         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration                     1            2            2
Precip Begin                     1 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         2 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        3230                      3730
Transport Wind (kts)             E 10         E 13        NE  9        NW  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        41990            0        33570
Dispersion Index                    0           42            0           34
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-130800-
Southern Tier-
1004 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                              Tonight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                   Showers      Showers         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  40           30            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       43           62           42           66
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           54          100           44
AM Wind (mph)                                NE  5                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                    E  6        NE  8        NE  5         N  6
Precip Amount                    0.03         0.05         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     2            3
Precip Begin                     2 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         3 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        3550                      3820
Transport Wind (kts)             E  9        NE 14        NE 10         N 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        49700            0        45840
Dispersion Index                    0           50            0           46
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper
50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...North around 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...North 5 to 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$