Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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838
FNUS51 KBUF 080605
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
204 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A sharp cold front will drift south across our area this evening
with rain gradually ending from west to east tonight. Canadian high
pressure will build across our region Wednesday and Thursday and
providing dry weather, along with the coolest temperatures of the
fall so far. Expect highs mainly in the 50s both Wednesday and
Thursday, with Wednesday and Thursday nights both likely to feature
a frost or freeze across many areas away from the immediate
lakeshores. A gradual warming trend will follow for Friday and the
weekend as the high slides off the New England coast.

NYZ201-080800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
204 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

                            Overnight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy       Mclear       Mclear        Clear
Precip Type                   Showers         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  50            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       49           62           32           56
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           44          100           35
AM Wind (mph)                                NW  6                      N  5
PM Wind (mph)                                NW 10         N  7         N  5
Precip Amount                    0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     1
Precip Begin                     2 AM
Precip End                       6 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)            240         6560                      5310
Transport Wind (kts)             N  9         N 16         N 14         N  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                2160       104960            0        42480
Dispersion Index                    2          105            0           42
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-080800-
Southern Tier-
204 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

                            Overnight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type                   Showers         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  50            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       46           61           32           55
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           38          100           32
AM Wind (mph)                                NW  8                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                                NW 10         N  6        NE  5
Precip Amount                    0.08         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     1
Precip Begin                     2 AM
Precip End                       6 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)            150         6160                      5370
Transport Wind (kts)             N 12        NW 17         N 11        NE 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                1800       104720            0        53700
Dispersion Index                    2          105            0           54
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid 30s.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
60s.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...Light winds.
WIND FRIDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$