530
FNUS51 KBUF 071805
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
204 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A sharp cold front will slowly ease its way south across our area
this afternoon and evening...and in the process will generate some
desperately-needed beneficial rainfall. In its wake...strong
Canadian high pressure will build across our region Wednesday and
Thursday and provide us with dry weather...along with the coolest
temperatures of the fall so far. Expect highs mainly in the 50s both
Wednesday and Thursday...with Wednesday and Thursday nights both
likely to feature a frost or freeze across many areas away from the
immediate lakeshores. Continued dry weather and a gradual warming
trend will then follow for Friday and the weekend as the high slides
off the New England coast.

NYZ201-072000-
Lake Ontario Plains-
204 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms         None
Chance Precip (%)                  90           90            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              50           50            0
Max/Min Temp                       72           46           62
Min/Max Humidity (%)               54          100           42
AM Wind (mph)                    S  5                      N  7
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  7         W  7         N  9
Precip Amount                    0.59         0.62         0.00
Precip Duration                     8           10
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         5 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           3680                      5940
Transport Wind (kts)            SW 13        NW 12         N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               47840            0        95040
Dispersion Index                   48            0           95
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-072000-
Southern Tier-
204 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms         None
Chance Precip (%)                  90           90            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              50           20            0
Max/Min Temp                       72           45           60
Min/Max Humidity (%)               55          100           37
AM Wind (mph)                    S  6                     NW  7
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  7         W  7         N 10
Precip Amount                    0.43         0.45         0.00
Precip Duration                     9            9
Precip Begin                     7 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           3700                      6090
Transport Wind (kts)            SW 15        NW 11        NW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               55500            0       109620
Dispersion Index                   56            0          110
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Widespread frost. Highs in the mid 50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Areas of frost through the night. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 60s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Northwest around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$