Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FNUS51 KBUF 250833
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
333 AM EST Mon Nov 25 2024

.DISCUSSION...
While weak high pressure will promote mainly fair dry weather
through at least lunchtime Monday...a relatively weak storm system
moving through the Lower Great Lakes will generate increasingly
widespread rain showers Monday night. The rain could mix with a bit of
wet snow east of Lake Ontario. Colder air in the wake of this system
will then promote some lake effect rain and snow east of both lakes for
Tuesday and Tuesday night with some accumulation expected east of Lake
Ontario. While some nuisance rain or wet snow showers will be possible
for the big travel day on Wednesday...there is the chance for unsettled
weather on Thanksgiving and then potentially SIGNIFICANT lake snows
east of the lakes for Thanksgiving weekend.

NYZ201-252100-
Lake Ontario Plains-
333 AM EST Mon Nov 25 2024

                                Today      Tonight          Tue
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0           90           90
Precip type                      None      Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp                       47           31           50
AM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var                     SW 10
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        SE  5         W 12
Precip amount                    0.00         0.31         0.15
Precip duration                                  9           12
Precip begin                                  6 PM   Continuing
Precip end                              Continuing   Continuing
Min/Max Humidity (%)               52          100           63
Haines Index                        4            2            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)           3070                      5240
Transport wind (kt)              S  5        SE 10         W 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               15350            0       172920
Dispersion Index                   15            0          173
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-252100-
Southern Tier-
333 AM EST Mon Nov 25 2024

                                Today      Tonight          Tue
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                     30          100           70
Precip type                   Showers      Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp                       49           39           48
AM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var                      W 11
PM Wind (mph)                   SE  5         S  7         W 12
Precip amount                    0.01         0.26         0.10
Precip duration                     1           10            8
Precip begin                     3 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Min/Max Humidity (%)               55          100           55
Haines Index                        3            2            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)           2720                      5940
Transport wind (kt)              S 10         S 12         W 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               27200            0       190080
Dispersion Index                   27            0          190
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows in the lower 30s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow
showers. Highs in the lower 40s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain and snow likely. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs around 40.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow showers, rain showers and
freezing rain likely. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper 30s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow and rain showers likely. Lows
in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 30s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow showers likely. Lows in the mid
20s. Highs in the lower 30s.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...West 5 to 10 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southwest around 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$