Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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114
FNUS51 KBUF 052005
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure draped along the eastern seaboard will only slowly
drift offshore through Monday. This will maintain fair dry and
unseasonably warm weather through the start of the new work
week...before a cold front brings some beneficial rainfall as it
crosses the region between Tuesday amd Tuesday night. Following the
frontal passage...Canadian high pressure will then build across the
Great Lakes and New England through the rest of the week. This will
usher in a return to fair dry weather along with a short period of
much cooler temperatures Wednesday and Thursday...before readings
climb back to a little above average for the end of the week and
start of next weekend.

NYZ201-060800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                              Tonight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud Cover                    Mclear       Mclear        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None         None      Showers        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           30          100
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0           50
Min/Max Temp                       54           83           57           76
Max/Min Humidity (%)               96           29           99           54
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  5                      S  7
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        SW  7      Lgt/Var        SW  8
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.01         0.54
Precip Duration                                               1            9
Precip Begin                                               2 AM   Continuing
Precip End                                           Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        6950                      3990
Transport Wind (kts)             S  9        SW 13         S  9        SW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        90350            0        63840
Dispersion Index                    0           90            0           64
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-060800-
Southern Tier-
404 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                              Tonight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud Cover                     Clear       Mclear       Mclear        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None         None      Showers        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           30          100
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0           50
Min/Max Temp                       50           83           56           76
Max/Min Humidity (%)               93           24           92           50
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  5                     SW  7
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        SW  6      Lgt/Var        SW  8
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.01         0.42
Precip Duration                                               1            9
Precip Begin                                               2 AM   Continuing
Precip End                                           Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        7340                      5130
Transport Wind (kts)             S  8         W 11        SW  8        SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        80740            0        71820
Dispersion Index                    0           81            0           72
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
50s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower
60s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...South around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...North around 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$