922
FNUS51 KBUF 060805
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure draped along the eastern seaboard will slowly drift
offshore today...while providing our region with one last day of dry
and unseasonably warm weather. A sharp cold front will then generate
some beneficial rainfall as it slowly crosses the region Tuesday and
Tuesday evening...with Canadian high pressure then building across
our region and ushering in dry and much cooler weather for Wednesday
and Thursday...when high temperatures appear likely to remain mostly
confined to the 50s. Continued dry weather and a gradual warming
trend will then follow for Friday and Saturday as the high slides
off the New England coast.

NYZ201-062000-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Tue
Cloud Cover                    Mclear       Mclear        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0          100
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0           50
Max/Min Temp                       83           57           74
Min/Max Humidity (%)               32          100           61
AM Wind (mph)                    S  5                      S  7
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  6      Lgt/Var        SW  8
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.59
Precip Duration                                               9
Precip Begin                                               6 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           7180                      3190
Transport Wind (kts)            SW 13         S  8        SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               93340            0        47850
Dispersion Index                   93            0           48
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-062000-
Southern Tier-
404 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Tue
Cloud Cover                    Mclear       Mclear        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0          100
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0           50
Max/Min Temp                       82           57           73
Min/Max Humidity (%)               26           98           59
AM Wind (mph)                   SW  5                     SW  7
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  6      Lgt/Var        SW  8
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.36
Precip Duration                                               9
Precip Begin                                               6 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           7430                      3400
Transport Wind (kts)            SW 12        SW  7        SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               89160            0        47600
Dispersion Index                   89            0           48
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
50s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower
60s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...South around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...North around 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$