038
FNUS51 KBUF 121805
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
204 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid today, with a chance of a few afternoon showers or a
thunderstorm during peak heating. A cold front will near the region
on Sunday with widespread showers and thunderstorms, some of which
could produce strong gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall. Drier
weather returns Monday, with somewhat cooler temperatures and less
humidity.

NYZ201-122000-
Lake Ontario Plains-
204 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Sun
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                      None        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0           30           80
Chance of Thunder (%)               0           20           50
Max/Min Temp                       91           69           88
Min/Max Humidity (%)               48          100           56
AM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var                      S  6
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var        SW  6
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.02         0.34
Precip Duration                                  1            5
Precip Begin                                  6 PM   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           6410                      4480
Transport Wind (kts)            SW  9         S  8        SW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               57690            0        58240
Dispersion Index                   58            0           58
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-122000-
Southern Tier-
204 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Sun
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                      None        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0           30           70
Chance of Thunder (%)               0           20           50
Max/Min Temp                       89           67           86
Min/Max Humidity (%)               43          100           56
AM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var                      S  6
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  5      Lgt/Var        SW  6
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.01         0.24
Precip Duration                                  1            6
Precip Begin                                  6 PM        10 AM
Precip End                                    7 PM   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           7340                      5560
Transport Wind (kts)            SW 10         S  8        SW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               73400            0        72280
Dispersion Index                   73            0           72
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
80s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Highs in the lower 80s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...North around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Light winds.
WIND THURSDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$