986
FNUS51 KBUF 130205
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1004 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will approach the area Sunday...and in the process will
generate widespread showers and thunderstorms, some of which could
produce strong gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall. In the wake
of the front drier weather will return on Monday, along with
somewhat cooler temperatures and less humidity.

NYZ201-130800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1004 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud Cover                    Mclear        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  30           80           60           30
Chance of Thunder (%)              20           50           50            0
Min/Max Temp                       69           88           65           86
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           56          100           46
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  6                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        SW  6      Lgt/Var         W  5
Precip Amount                    0.03         0.35         0.22         0.01
Precip Duration                     1            5            6            0
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                       7 PM   Continuing   Continuing         8 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        4410                      6340
Transport Wind (kts)             S  8        SW 13        SW  8         W  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        57330            0        57060
Dispersion Index                    0           57            0           57
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-130800-
Southern Tier-
1004 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud Cover                    Mclear        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms         None
Chance Precip (%)                  30           70           60            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              30           50           50            0
Min/Max Temp                       68           86           62           83
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           56          100           44
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  6                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        SW  6      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.24         0.17         0.00
Precip Duration                     1            6            3
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                       8 PM   Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        5520                      6100
Transport Wind (kts)             S  8        SW 13        SW  6         W  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        71760            0        54900
Dispersion Index                    0           72            0           55
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Highs in the lower 80s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...Light winds.
WIND TUESDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$