Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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867
FNUS51 KBUF 250234
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
933 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024

.DISCUSSION...
While weak high pressure will promote mainly fair dry weather
through at least lunchtime Monday...a relatively weak storm system
moving through the Lower Great Lakes will generate increasingly
widespread rain showers Monday night. The rain could mix with a bit of
wet snow east of Lake Ontario. Colder air in the wake of this system
will then promote some lake effect rain and snow east of both lakes for
Tuesday and Tuesday night with some accumulation expected east of Lake
Ontario. While some nuisance rain or wet snow showers will be possible
for the big travel day on Wednesday...there is the chance for unsettled
weather on Thanksgiving and then potentially SIGNIFICANT lake snows
east of the lakes for Thanksgiving weekend.

NYZ201-250900-
Lake Ontario Plains-
933 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024

                              Tonight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy       Cloudy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0            0          100          100
Precip type                      None         None      Showers      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       26           47           34           50
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                     SW 11
PM Wind (mph)                   NW  6      Lgt/Var        SE  5         W 14
Precip amount                    0.00         0.00         0.25         0.17
Precip duration                                               6           12
Precip begin                                               6 PM   Continuing
Precip end                                           Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)               96           50          100           62
Haines Index                        4            4            2            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        3150                      6490
Transport wind (kt)             NW 13         S  6        SE 11         W 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        18900            0       207680
Dispersion Index                    0           19            0          208
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-250900-
Southern Tier-
933 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024

                              Tonight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy       Cloudy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0           30          100          100
Precip type                      None      Showers      Showers      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       30           49           40           49
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                      W 12
PM Wind (mph)                   NW  5        SE  6         S  7         W 14
Precip amount                    0.00         0.01         0.22         0.09
Precip duration                                  1           11           10
Precip begin                                  2 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           54          100           56
Haines Index                        4            3            2            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        2810                      5780
Transport wind (kt)             NW 10         S 12         S 14         W 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        33720            0       184960
Dispersion Index                    0           34            0          185
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows in the lower 30s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow
showers. Highs in the lower 40s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs around 40.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow and rain showers likely. Lows
around 30. Highs in the mid 30s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow showers likely and a chance
of freezing rain. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 30s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the lower 20s. Highs in the lower 30s.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...West 5 to 10 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southwest around 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$