Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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438
FNUS71 KBTV 221648
FWSBTV

Spot Forecast for Goshen/Hogback...USFS
National Weather Service Burlington VT
1248 PM EDT Tue Apr 22 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 EDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Surface winds will remain from the west today at 10-15 mph with
surface gusts 20 to 25 mph, and 20 ft gusts 25 to 31 mph.
Temperatures will reach into the upper 50s while minimum relative
humidities around 45 percent are expected between 4 PM and 6 PM
tonight. Skies will trend mostly clear tonight and winds will
weaken but remain from the west. Winds will shift slightly to
become northwesterly Wednesday morning then again become westerly
during the day, then becoming northwesterly during the evening.
Surface winds Wednesday will be generally between 5 and 10 mph
with some surface gusts 10-15 mph and 20 ft gusts 15- 20 mph.
Minimum relative humidities for Wednesday will reach to 40 to 45
percent during the afternoon hours. Winds will trend light and
variable Wednesday night as high pressure crests overhead. No
precipitation is expected during this forecast timeframe. The next
chance for wetting rain will occur Thursday night at the earliest
as some scattered showers move through. More widespread showers
will move in Friday night into Saturday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 15 to 16 mph with gusts to around 31
                    mph.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 24 to 25 mph.

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  22  17  14  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  54  56  57  55
RH..............63  57  51  45  47
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..16  16  15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.30  31  24  25  24
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.24  25  25  25  25

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 34.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 23 mph decreasing to 10 to 13 mph
                    late in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........9   9   8   8   10  10  13  16  19  20  18  17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............53  50  48  45  44  42  41  40  38  37  37  36
RH..............48  54  56  60  62  67  70  70  79  79  79  82
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..14  14  13  12  10  9   9   8   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.24  23  23  22  20  17  15  14  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.23  20  17  15  14  13  12  12  12  12  12  10

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 18 mph increasing to 17 to 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  21  21  18  15  9   8   8   8   7   6   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............36  34  39  42  45  48  50  52  53  54  55  53
RH..............82  89  73  65  58  51  48  46  43  43  41  44
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.12  13  14  15  16  17  17  18  18  18  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.5 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.5 3.9 4.1 4.2 4.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   13  14  16  16  17  18  20  20  20  18  17

$$
Forecaster...Duell
Requested by...Robert Goulding
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2511350.0/BTV
.DELDT 04/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lindsay.r.silvia@usda.gov,eric.hughes@usda.gov,casey.howard@usda.gov,robert.a.goulding@usda.gov