Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
284
FNUS71 KBTV 260710
FWSBTV
Spot Forecast for Scotch Hill Fire...VT-VTS
National Weather Service Burlington VT
310 AM EDT Sat Jul 26 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on July 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Overnight, there have been strong relative humidity recoveries
with plenty of fog. Most places have relative humidity values near
or over 90 percent. Abundant sunshine is expected today, with
temperatures climbing into the mid 80s near Fair Haven. Wildfire
smoke from Canadian Wildfires will result in poor air quality
before exiting late morning or early this afternoon. Relative
humidity values this afternoon will likely fall to, or just under,
40 percent. Precipitation from yesterday near Fair Haven was
about a tenth of an inch. The wind forecast today near the site is
challenging due to a lack of a large scale weather systems
driving the winds. The proximity to Lake Bomoseen and Scotch Hill
may influence winds. Although winds will favor the southwest
around 5 mph, a southeasterly direction will be possible in the
afternoon.
Overnight, strong relative humidity recovery is again expected. A
compact weather feature will produce rain, mainly south of the
Fair Haven area. However, a wetting rain still appears possible
with 0.25" precipitation probabilities of about 40 percent.
Embedded lightning will be possible with this system and any
activity in the afternoon. Cloud cover on Sunday afternoon and
the potential for additional showers should hold temperatures near
80 in the afternoon with relative humidity values in the 70
percent range. Winds on Sunday will be southerly at 4 to 8 mph.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog early
in the morning. Patchy smoke early in the
morning, then haze late in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 3 mph shifting to the west 3 to 5 mph
in the afternoon, then shifting to the
southwest around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
LAL.................
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........47 26 19 20 23 41 41 57 49 50
Weather cov..... DEF DEF
Weather type.... HAZ HAZ
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............M M M M M M M M M M
Temp............66 70 74 77 79 81 81 83 83 82
RH..............84 71 62 54 47 44 44 41 43 44
20 FT wind dir..E SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.2 3 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.2 2.3 3.8 4.6 5.5 5.7 5.7 5.6 4.4
Transp wind dir.E E E NE W W W W W SW
Transp wind spd.2 2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
showers after 3 am. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms early in the
morning.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Chance of thunder...21 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph after 3
am. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms early in the morning.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 14 mph.
LAL.................
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........53 54 56 59 75 67 67 82 94 91 87 87
Weather cov..... SCH CHC
Weather type.... RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 40
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20
LAL.............M M M M M M M M M M M M
Temp............81 79 75 72 70 68 67 67 67 67 67 66
RH..............47 54 64 68 73 76 75 75 78 75 75 84
20 FT wind dir..S S S SE S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 5 5
20 FT wind gust.3 3 3 3 3 3 6 6 6 6 7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.6 6 6 7 8 8 9 9 12 10 14 14
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers likely
and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
morning, then chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance of thunder...35 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the morning and
early afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 16 mph.
LAL.................
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........95 92 96 85 88 90 83 76 68 64 61 57
Weather cov.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50 50 60 60 60 50 50 50 50 40 30 30
Chc of thdr (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 40 40 30 30
LAL.............M M M M M M M M M M M M
Temp............65 66 67 67 68 69 70 72 73 74 75 75
RH..............87 90 90 93 93 93 93 87 84 82 82 82
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5
20 FT wind gust.7 7 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.8
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.14 12 13 13 14 16 16 15 14 14 14 14
$$
Forecaster...Haynes
Requested by...Dan Dillner
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518612.0/BTV
.DELDT 07/26/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dan.dillner@vermont.gov