Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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900
FNUS51 KBTV 151828
FWFBTV

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Northern Vermont and
Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
128 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

...No fire weather concerns through Monday...

.DISCUSSION...
Widespread snow, some freezing rain, and rain are expected to
move in this afternoon and evening through tomorrow. Otherwise,
winds will be increasing ahead of the the system with gusty and
colder conditions expected behind the cold front tomorrow and
showers becoming less widespread.

VTZ030-160915-
Champlain Valley of Vermont-
Including the cities of Burlington, Shelburne, Middlebury,
Vergennes, St. Albans, Swanton, Enosburg Falls, and Bristol
128 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          80           80           50
Precip type           Snow/Rain    Snow/Rain    Snow Showers Snow Showers
Max/Min Temp          29           44           25           37
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    W 11 G28                  NW 16 G37
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SE  8 G27    W 15 G35     W 16 G36     W 16 G35
Precip amount         0.50         0.13         0.11         0.05
Precip duration       8            8            12           5
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          98           66           95           58
Chance thunder (%)    3            4            0            0
Mixing hgt                         4130                      3900
Transport wnd (mph)                W 25                      NW 24
Ventilation rate                   103250                    93600
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ033-035-160915-
Northern Taconics-Lower Connecticut Valley North-
Including the cities of Fair Haven, Rutland, Danby, Springfield,
White River Junction, and Woodstock
128 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          40           40           0
Precip type           Frz Rain     Showers      Snow Showers None
Max/Min Temp          30           46           23           38
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    W 13 G31                  W 14 G32
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  5 G17     W 14 G31     W 14 G32     W 14 G31
Precip amount         0.48         0.09         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       6            2            2
Precip begin          6 PM         7 AM         Continuing
Precip end            4 AM         Continuing   6 AM
Humidity (%)          100          62           86           51
Chance thunder (%)    3            5            0            0
Mixing hgt                         4520                      4260
Transport wnd (mph)                W 29                      NW 28
Ventilation rate                   131080                    119280
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ034-160915-
South Central Greens-
Including the cities of Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington,
Bethel, and Ludlow
128 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          50           50           30
Precip type           Frz Rain     Snow/Rain    Snow Showers Snow Showers
Max/Min Temp          27           44           21           35
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    W 15 G33                  W 16 G34
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  6 G19     W 16 G35     W 18 G36     W 14 G33
Precip amount         0.56         0.16         0.08         0.02
Precip duration       6            2            2            2
Precip begin          6 PM         7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            4 AM         Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Humidity (%)          100          73           94           59
Chance thunder (%)    3            5            0            0
Mixing hgt                         3860                      3790
Transport wnd (mph)                W 31                      NW 28
Ventilation rate                   119660                    106120
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ032-160915-
Central Vermont-
Including the cities of Richmond, Underhill, Johnson, Stowe,
Montpelier, Waitsfield, Starksboro, Bradford, Randolph,
and St. Johnsbury
128 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          70           80           60
Precip type           Snow/Rain    Snow/Rain    Snow Showers Snow Showers
Max/Min Temp          27           42           22           33
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    W 10 G26                  NW 14 G32
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  6 G19     W 13 G31     W 15 G32     NW 13 G31
Precip amount         0.52         0.16         0.13         0.06
Precip duration       8            5            11           6
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          75           98           69
Chance thunder (%)    2            5            0            0
Mixing hgt                         3770                      3750
Transport wnd (mph)                W 28                      NW 26
Ventilation rate                   105560                    97500
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ031-160915-
Northeast Kingdom-
Including the cities of Derby, Newport, Island Pond, Lunenburg,
and Hardwick
128 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          80           90           80
Precip type           Snow/Rain    Snow         Snow Showers Snow Showers
Max/Min Temp          24           39           21           31
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    W  8 G24                  W 14 G31
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SE  5 G18    W 12 G27     W 13 G28     W 12 G29
Precip amount         0.39         0.18         0.16         0.10
Precip duration       8            5            12           10
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          80           100          77
Chance thunder (%)    1            4            0            0
Mixing hgt                         3040                      3090
Transport wnd (mph)                W 24                      NW 26
Ventilation rate                   72960                     80340
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ205-160915-
Champlain Valley of New York-
Including the cities of Champlain, Plattsburgh, Port Henry,
Ticonderoga, and Schroon Lake
128 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          80           80           30
Precip type           Frz Rain     Snow/Rain    Snow Showers Snow Showers
Max/Min Temp          27           43           21           36
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    W 13 G33                  W 18 G37
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  9 G26     W 16 G35     W 18 G37     W 17 G36
Precip amount         0.49         0.11         0.08         0.03
Precip duration       8            8            11           2
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Humidity (%)          100          66           96           58
Chance thunder (%)    3            4            0            0
Mixing hgt                         4200                      3390
Transport wnd (mph)                W 31                      NW 29
Ventilation rate                   130200                    98310
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ204-160915-
Adirondack High Peaks-
Including the cities of Lake Placid, Keene, Mount Van Hoevenberg,
Newcomb, and Wilmington
128 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          80           70           50
Precip type           Frz Rain     Snow/Rain    Snow Showers Snow Showers
Max/Min Temp          26           40           17           30
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    W 17 G39                  NW 17 G42
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  6 G25     W 18 G40     W 19 G41     W 16 G43
Precip amount         0.58         0.14         0.09         0.04
Precip duration       9            6            11           4
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          74           98           67
Chance thunder (%)    3            4            0            0
Mixing hgt                         3960                      3400
Transport wnd (mph)                W 36                      NW 30
Ventilation rate                   142560                    102000
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ203-160915-
Northern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Star Lake, Tupper Lake, Pauls Smiths,
and Wanakena
128 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          90           90           80
Precip type           Frz Rain     Snow         Snow Showers Snow Showers
Max/Min Temp          26           37           18           29
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    W 15 G33                  W 13 G33
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  7 G18     W 16 G35     W 15 G32     W 13 G33
Precip amount         0.64         0.29         0.23         0.11
Precip duration       10           11           12           9
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          83           100          75
Chance thunder (%)    3            5            0            0
Mixing hgt                         3100                      2950
Transport wnd (mph)                W 32                      W 25
Ventilation rate                   99200                     73750
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ202-160915-
St. Lawrence-
Including the cities of Massena, Norfolk, Fort Covington, Malone,
Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Brasher Falls, and Gouverneur
128 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          80           90           60
Precip type           Frz Rain     Snow/Rain    Snow Showers Snow Showers
Max/Min Temp          28           38           22           34
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    W 14 G31                  W 14 G31
20ftWnd PM(mph)       E  6 G17     W 16 G33     W 15 G31     W 14 G31
Precip amount         0.56         0.23         0.17         0.06
Precip duration       9            9            12           3
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          78           100          63
Chance thunder (%)    3            4            1            0
Mixing hgt                         3250                      3430
Transport wnd (mph)                W 30                      W 23
Ventilation rate                   97500                     78890
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow.
Lows in the upper 20s. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain or snow likely. Highs in the
mid 40s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 30s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs in the mid
40s. South winds around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$