Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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891
FNUS51 KBTV 161757
FWFBTV

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Northern Vermont and
Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
1257 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

...No fire weather concerns...

.DISCUSSION...
Widespread snow and rain will transition to all snow throughout
the evening, otherwise, winds continue to be gusty as high as
30-40 mph possible out of the northwest. In some mountain areas,
we anticipate as much as 14 to 18 inches of snow through Monday
evening, though lower elevations will largely miss out on the
heavier snow in this upslope event. Snow showers will likely taper
off by Tuesday.

VTZ030-170930-
Champlain Valley of Vermont-
Including the cities of Burlington, Shelburne, Middlebury,
Vergennes, St. Albans, Swanton, Enosburg Falls, and Bristol
1257 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     70           50           30           10
Precip type           Snow         Snow         Snow Showers Snow Showers
Max/Min Temp          25           36           24           39
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    NW 16 G37                 W 10 G28
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NW 15 G35    W 15 G35     W 12 G31     W  8 G24
Precip amount         0.08         0.04         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       8            2            2            1
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   1 PM
Humidity (%)          95           57           88           54
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         3540                      3900
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 25                     W 17
Ventilation rate                   88500                     66300
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ033-035-170930-
Northern Taconics-Lower Connecticut Valley North-
Including the cities of Fair Haven, Rutland, Danby, Springfield,
White River Junction, and Woodstock
1257 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          23           38           23           40
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    NW 14 G31                 W  9 G23
20ftWnd PM(mph)       W 14 G31     W 13 G29     W 11 G25     W  8 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          92           52           83           48
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         3990                      4130
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 26                     NW 22
Ventilation rate                   103740                    90860
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ034-170930-
South Central Greens-
Including the cities of Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington,
Bethel, and Ludlow
1257 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            0
Precip type           Snow         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          21           34           21           37
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    W 16 G37                  W  9 G27
20ftWnd PM(mph)       W 18 G40     W 14 G34     W 12 G32     W  7 G23
Precip amount         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          6 PM
Precip end            6 AM
Humidity (%)          99           59           90           54
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         3500                      3520
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 26                     W 23
Ventilation rate                   91000                     80960
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ032-170930-
Central Vermont-
Including the cities of Richmond, Underhill, Johnson, Stowe,
Montpelier, Waitsfield, Starksboro, Bradford, Randolph,
and St. Johnsbury
1257 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     60           40           30           20
Precip type           Snow         Snow         Snow Showers Snow Showers
Max/Min Temp          22           33           21           35
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    NW 13 G33                 W  7 G24
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NW 14 G35    NW 12 G32    W 10 G31     W  6 G19
Precip amount         0.13         0.06         0.03         0.00
Precip duration       5            2            2            1
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   1 PM
Humidity (%)          100          70           94           63
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         3340                      3500
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 26                     NW 21
Ventilation rate                   86840                     73500
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ031-170930-
Northeast Kingdom-
Including the cities of Derby, Newport, Island Pond, Lunenburg,
and Hardwick
1257 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     80           80           60           30
Precip type           Snow         Snow         Snow Showers Snow Showers
Max/Min Temp          21           31           20           32
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    NW 12 G32                 W  8 G27
20ftWnd PM(mph)       W 12 G32     W 11 G32     W 11 G33     W  7 G21
Precip amount         0.16         0.09         0.06         0.01
Precip duration       10           4            3            2
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Humidity (%)          100          76           97           73
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         2820                      3030
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 26                     W 22
Ventilation rate                   73320                     66660
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ205-170930-
Champlain Valley of New York-
Including the cities of Champlain, Plattsburgh, Port Henry,
Ticonderoga, and Schroon Lake
1257 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     60           40           20           0
Precip type           Snow         Snow         Snow Showers None
Max/Min Temp          21           36           20           38
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    W 18 G39                  W 11 G31
20ftWnd PM(mph)       W 17 G39     W 16 G36     W 14 G35     W 10 G26
Precip amount         0.09         0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       8            1            1
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   8 PM
Precip end            Continuing   12 PM        4 AM
Humidity (%)          96           57           91           56
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         2980                      3360
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 29                     W 22
Ventilation rate                   86420                     73920
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ204-170930-
Adirondack High Peaks-
Including the cities of Lake Placid, Keene, Mount Van Hoevenberg,
Newcomb, and Wilmington
1257 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     70           40           20           0
Precip type           Snow         Snow         Snow Showers None
Max/Min Temp          17           31           18           32
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    NW 17 G46                 W  9 G34
20ftWnd PM(mph)       W 19 G49     W 14 G44     W 14 G46     W  7 G24
Precip amount         0.07         0.03         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       6            2            2
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   6 AM
Humidity (%)          100          67           95           63
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         2920                      3000
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 29                     NW 22
Ventilation rate                   84680                     66000
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ203-170930-
Northern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Star Lake, Tupper Lake, Pauls Smiths,
and Wanakena
1257 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     90           60           30           0
Precip type           Snow         Snow         Snow Showers None
Max/Min Temp          18           29           18           32
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    W 13 G33                  W  9 G27
20ftWnd PM(mph)       W 15 G33     W 12 G32     W 11 G31     W  7 G23
Precip amount         0.23         0.10         0.02         0.00
Precip duration       12           3            2
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   6 AM
Humidity (%)          100          75           99           70
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         2560                      2700
Transport wnd (mph)                W 24                      W 18
Ventilation rate                   61440                     48600
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ202-170930-
St. Lawrence-
Including the cities of Massena, Norfolk, Fort Covington, Malone,
Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Brasher Falls, and Gouverneur
1257 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     80           40           20           0
Precip type           Snow         Snow         Snow Showers None
Max/Min Temp          22           34           21           36
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    W 14 G29                  W  9 G24
20ftWnd PM(mph)       W 15 G31     W 14 G31     W 10 G28     W  9 G24
Precip amount         0.16         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       9            2            2
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   6 AM
Humidity (%)          98           63           95           62
Chance thunder (%)    1            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         3130                      3340
Transport wnd (mph)                W 22                      W 16
Ventilation rate                   68860                     53440
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs around 40. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow.
Lows in the lower 30s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 40s. Southeast winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain. Lows in the mid 30s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$