Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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903
FNUS51 KBTV 211931
FWFBTV

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Northern Vermont and
Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
231 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

...Widespread Wetting Rains to Continue Through the Weekend...

.DISCUSSION...
Widespread rainfall thus far today has led to the highest single day
rain totals for the month, which is significant given we have only seen
about 1 to 3 tenths of an inch of rainfall across the region. A brief
break in rainfall is expected Friday afternoon with a return of rain and
mountain snow showers Saturday and Sunday. Although winds will be gusty
from the east on Friday and northwest on Saturday, the widespread continued
wetting rains should quell and fire concerns.


VTZ030-220930-
Champlain Valley of Vermont-
Including the cities of Burlington, Shelburne, Middlebury,
Vergennes, St. Albans, Swanton, Enosburg Falls, and Bristol
231 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     90           70           70           80
Precip type           Showers      Rain         Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          39           48           34           42
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    E 11 G24                  NW 12 G24
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NE  7 G18    E  8 G19     NE  5        NW 11 G23
Precip amount         0.24         0.05         0.17         0.18
Precip duration       11           3            5            7
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          59           100          78
Haines Index          3            4            4            3
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Mixing hgt                         4560                      2990
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 22                     N 18
Ventilation rate                   100320                    53820
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ033-035-220930-
Northern Taconics-Lower Connecticut Valley North-
Including the cities of Fair Haven, Rutland, Danby, Springfield,
White River Junction, and Woodstock
231 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          60           70           70
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          36           45           33           42
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    E 12 G25                  NW 10 G19
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NE  9 G21    E  9 G20     NE  5        NW 11 G23
Precip amount         0.41         0.06         0.30         0.15
Precip duration       12           2            6            5
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          59           100          73
Haines Index          3            4            4            3
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Mixing hgt                         4720                      3150
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 23                     NW 22
Ventilation rate                   108560                    69300
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ034-220930-
South Central Greens-
Including the cities of Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington,
Bethel, and Ludlow
231 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          70           70           70
Precip type           Showers      Snow/Rain    Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          34           42           32           39
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    E 15 G47                  NW 13 G37
20ftWnd PM(mph)       E 11 G37     E 10 G28     NE  6 G20    NW 15 G41
Precip amount         0.70         0.13         0.37         0.18
Precip duration       12           3            6            6
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          65           100          80
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Mixing hgt                         4560                      2930
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 24                     NW 25
Ventilation rate                   109440                    73250
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ032-220930-
Central Vermont-
Including the cities of Richmond, Underhill, Johnson, Stowe,
Montpelier, Waitsfield, Starksboro, Bradford, Randolph,
and St. Johnsbury
231 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     80           70           80           80
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          37           45           33           39
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    E 12 G28                  NW 10 G21
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NE  7 G21    E  8 G21     Lgt/Var      NW 11 G24
Precip amount         0.31         0.09         0.27         0.23
Precip duration       10           3            6            10
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          59           100          81
Haines Index          3            4            4            3
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Mixing hgt                         4940                      2830
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 22                     NW 22
Ventilation rate                   108680                    62260
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ031-220930-
Northeast Kingdom-
Including the cities of Derby, Newport, Island Pond, Lunenburg,
and Hardwick
231 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     70           70           80           80
Precip type           Showers      Rain         Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          37           45           33           38
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    E 13 G27                  NW  8 G18
20ftWnd PM(mph)       E 10 G25     E  8 G19     NE  5        NW 10 G20
Precip amount         0.11         0.10         0.24         0.27
Precip duration       5            3            7            12
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          60           100          82
Haines Index          3            4            3            3
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Mixing hgt                         4590                      2620
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 22                     NW 17
Ventilation rate                   100980                    44540
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ205-220930-
Champlain Valley of New York-
Including the cities of Champlain, Plattsburgh, Port Henry,
Ticonderoga, and Schroon Lake
231 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     90           70           70           70
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          37           45           33           43
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    NE 13 G27                 NW 11 G24
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NE  8 G21    E  8 G21     N  5         NW 11 G24
Precip amount         0.73         0.17         0.11         0.12
Precip duration       12           3            5            6
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          65           100          75
Haines Index          3            4            3            3
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Mixing hgt                         4140                      3380
Transport wnd (mph)                E 18                      NW 20
Ventilation rate                   74520                     67600
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ204-220930-
Adirondack High Peaks-
Including the cities of Lake Placid, Keene, Mount Van Hoevenberg,
Newcomb, and Wilmington
231 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          70           60           60
Precip type           Snow/Rain    Snow/Rain    Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          33           39           29           37
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    E 17 G44                  NW 12 G34
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NE  8 G31    E 11 G32     NE  6 G21    NW 14 G41
Precip amount         0.86         0.16         0.07         0.09
Precip duration       12           4            4            5
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          72           100          78
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Mixing hgt                         3720                      3240
Transport wnd (mph)                E 23                      NW 22
Ventilation rate                   85560                     71280
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ203-220930-
Northern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Star Lake, Tupper Lake, Pauls Smiths,
and Wanakena
231 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          70           50           70
Precip type           Showers      Rain         Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          35           43           30           38
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    E 13 G26                  NW  8 G17
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NE  6 G18    E  9 G23     Lgt/Var      W 10 G20
Precip amount         0.54         0.10         0.03         0.09
Precip duration       12           3            3            9
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          64           100          82
Haines Index          2            4            3            3
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Mixing hgt                         3710                      2520
Transport wnd (mph)                E 25                      NW 17
Ventilation rate                   92750                     42840
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ202-220930-
St. Lawrence-
Including the cities of Massena, Norfolk, Fort Covington, Malone,
Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Brasher Falls, and Gouverneur
231 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     90           70           50           50
Precip type           Showers      Rain         Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          38           47           34           43
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    NE 16 G29                 NW  7
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NE  9 G21    E 12 G25     NE  6        W  9 G20
Precip amount         0.53         0.11         0.02         0.07
Precip duration       12           4            2            4
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          65           100          75
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Mixing hgt                         3440                      3090
Transport wnd (mph)                E 23                      NW 14
Ventilation rate                   79120                     43260
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the
mid 30s. West winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the lower 40s. West winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in
the mid 30s. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Highs in the
mid 40s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or
snow showers. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$