Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
002
FNUS51 KBTV 051740
FWFBTV
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Northern Vermont and
Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
140 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
...Near Critical Fire Weather Monday and Tuesday...
.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions will persist through Monday night. Relative
humidities will be the lowest on Monday, with minimum values
generally between 30-35 percent range. However, localized areas
will see values in the upper 20s, particularly in the Connecticut
River Valley. Most places will see southerly to southwesterly
gusts in the 10-20 mph range. However, gusts up to 30 mph are
possible in the St. Lawrence Valley. An area of rain moves through
from northwest to southeast on Tuesday and is expected to easily
produce a wetting rain. Before that, relative humidities will be a
little higher than Monday, but winds will be stronger. Northern
New York should see rain early enough that relative humidities
stay above 40 percent. However, parts of Vermont will likely see
them fall well into the 30s. Southerly to southwesterly winds are
expected to gust between 20 to 30 mph, with the highest values
across northern New York and the Champlain Valley.
VTZ030-060815-
Champlain Valley of Vermont-
Including the cities of Burlington, Shelburne, Middlebury,
Vergennes, St. Albans, Swanton, Enosburg Falls, and Bristol
140 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 70
Precip type None None None Tstms
Max/Min Temp 53 82 56 80
20ftWnd AM(mph) S 7 G17 S 10 G26
20ftWnd PM(mph) S 6 G17 S 8 G20 S 8 G19 S 11 G27
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19
Precip duration 3
Precip begin 10 AM
Precip end Continuing
Humidity (%) 97 35 89 46
Chance thunder (%) 0 0 0 19
Mixing hgt 4040 4320
Transport wnd (mph) S 14 SW 21
Ventilation rate 56560 90720
KBDI 301-400 301-400 301-400 201-300
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ033-035-060815-
Northern Taconics-Lower Connecticut Valley North-
Including the cities of Fair Haven, Rutland, Danby, Springfield,
White River Junction, and Woodstock
140 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud cover Clear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 30
Precip type None None None Showers
Max/Min Temp 51 83 51 81
20ftWnd AM(mph) Lgt/Var S 5 G19
20ftWnd PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 G17 Lgt/Var SW 9 G23
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04
Precip duration 0
Precip begin 3 PM
Precip end Continuing
Humidity (%) 100 31 99 43
Chance thunder (%) 0 0 0 4
Mixing hgt 4670 5320
Transport wnd (mph) SW 14 SW 18
Ventilation rate 65380 95760
KBDI 401-500 401-500 401-500 401-500
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ034-060815-
South Central Greens-
Including the cities of Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington,
Bethel, and Ludlow
140 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud cover Clear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 40
Precip type None None None Showers
Max/Min Temp 52 81 52 78
20ftWnd AM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 G23
20ftWnd PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 Lgt/Var SW 9 G24
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05
Precip duration 1
Precip begin 2 PM
Precip end Continuing
Humidity (%) 94 35 95 47
Chance thunder (%) 0 0 0 5
Mixing hgt 3750 5070
Transport wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 20
Ventilation rate 56250 101400
KBDI 401-500 401-500 401-500 401-500
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ032-060815-
Central Vermont-
Including the cities of Richmond, Underhill, Johnson, Stowe,
Montpelier, Waitsfield, Starksboro, Bradford, Randolph,
and St. Johnsbury
140 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 50
Precip type None None None Showers
Max/Min Temp 48 82 50 80
20ftWnd AM(mph) Lgt/Var S 6 G24
20ftWnd PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 8 G25
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11
Precip duration 1
Precip begin 2 PM
Precip end Continuing
Humidity (%) 100 31 96 42
Chance thunder (%) 0 0 0 11
Mixing hgt 4910 5580
Transport wnd (mph) SW 14 SW 21
Ventilation rate 68740 117180
KBDI 501-600 501-600 501-600 401-500
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ031-060815-
Northeast Kingdom-
Including the cities of Derby, Newport, Island Pond, Lunenburg,
and Hardwick
140 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 50
Precip type None None None Showers
Max/Min Temp 50 82 50 80
20ftWnd AM(mph) Lgt/Var S 5 G20
20ftWnd PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 7 G23
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15
Precip duration 1
Precip begin 2 PM
Precip end Continuing
Humidity (%) 99 31 93 41
Chance thunder (%) 0 0 0 11
Mixing hgt 5290 5890
Transport wnd (mph) SW 14 SW 22
Ventilation rate 74060 129580
KBDI 501-600 501-600 501-600 401-500
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ205-060815-
Champlain Valley of New York-
Including the cities of Champlain, Plattsburgh, Port Henry,
Ticonderoga, and Schroon Lake
140 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 80
Precip type None None None Tstms
Max/Min Temp 51 83 54 80
20ftWnd AM(mph) SW 6 S 9 G26
20ftWnd PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 7 G20 SW 6 G20 SW 11 G27
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20
Precip duration 4
Precip begin 9 AM
Precip end Continuing
Humidity (%) 94 31 90 44
Chance thunder (%) 0 0 0 21
Mixing hgt 6000 5010
Transport wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 21
Ventilation rate 90000 105210
KBDI 301-400 301-400 301-400 201-300
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ204-060815-
Adirondack High Peaks-
Including the cities of Lake Placid, Keene, Mount Van Hoevenberg,
Newcomb, and Wilmington
140 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 80
Precip type None None None Tstms
Max/Min Temp 45 79 50 77
20ftWnd AM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 8 G26
20ftWnd PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 G18 SW 6 G21 SW 9 G29
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22
Precip duration 3
Precip begin 9 AM
Precip end Continuing
Humidity (%) 97 34 96 49
Chance thunder (%) 0 0 0 22
Mixing hgt 5450 5490
Transport wnd (mph) W 15 SW 23
Ventilation rate 81750 126270
KBDI 301-400 301-400 301-400 201-300
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ203-060815-
Northern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Star Lake, Tupper Lake, Pauls Smiths,
and Wanakena
140 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 100
Precip type None None None Tstms
Max/Min Temp 49 79 53 75
20ftWnd AM(mph) SW 6 G17 SW 8 G25
20ftWnd PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 7 G21 SW 5 G20 SW 10 G28
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37
Precip duration 5
Precip begin 8 AM
Precip end Continuing
Humidity (%) 92 34 87 52
Chance thunder (%) 0 0 0 25
Mixing hgt 5490 4470
Transport wnd (mph) SW 17 SW 23
Ventilation rate 93330 102810
KBDI 201-300 201-300 201-300 <=200
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ202-060815-
St. Lawrence-
Including the cities of Massena, Norfolk, Fort Covington, Malone,
Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Brasher Falls, and Gouverneur
140 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 100
Precip type None None None Tstms
Max/Min Temp 54 82 59 76
20ftWnd AM(mph) SW 7 G18 SW 10 G25
20ftWnd PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 10 G27 SW 7 G27 SW 12 G28
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43
Precip duration 6
Precip begin 6 AM
Precip end Continuing
Humidity (%) 80 32 76 51
Chance thunder (%) 0 0 0 22
Mixing hgt 5520 3950
Transport wnd (mph) SW 20 SW 23
Ventilation rate 110400 90850
KBDI 301-400 301-400 301-400 201-300
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows around 50. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. North winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s.
Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Patchy frost. Lows in the mid
30s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Patchy frost. Highs in the lower 60s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds around 5 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$