Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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FNUS51 KBTV 061720
FWFBTV

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Northern Vermont and
Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
120 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

...Fire Weather Concerns Tomorrow Before Rain...

.DISCUSSION...
An area of showers associated with a cold front will cross the
region from northwest to southeast on Tuesday and will easily
produce a wetting rain. Ahead of the showers, Tuesday`s relative
humidity values will be a little higher than Monday, but gusty
south to southwest winds are expected to be more widespread,
gusting 20 to 30 mph, with the highest values across northern New
York and the Champlain Valley. Northern New York should see rain
early enough that relative humidities stay above 40 percent.
However, parts of Vermont will likely see them fall into the 30s.
Total rainfall amounts Tuesday and Tuesday night are expected to
range from two-thirds of an inch in far southeastern Vermont up to
1.25 inch over much of northern New York and northern Vermont.
Locally higher amounts are possible. Gusts will again be in the 15
to 25 mph range Wednesday but relative humidities will generally
stay above 40 percent. Winds will be northerly and northwesterly
Wednesday.

VTZ030-070815-
Champlain Valley of Vermont-
Including the cities of Burlington, Shelburne, Middlebury,
Vergennes, St. Albans, Swanton, Enosburg Falls, and Bristol
120 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            70           100          40
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          56           79           49           60
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S 11 G27                  NW 10 G26
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  8 G20     S 12 G27     S 10 G23     NW 12 G26
Precip amount         0.00         0.11         0.75         0.13
Precip duration                    3            11           1
Precip begin                       12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   11 AM
Humidity (%)          89           48           100          44
Chance thunder (%)    0            17           21           0
Mixing hgt                         3720                      6920
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 22                     NW 21
Ventilation rate                   81840                     145320
KBDI                  301-400      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ033-035-070815-
Northern Taconics-Lower Connecticut Valley North-
Including the cities of Fair Haven, Rutland, Danby, Springfield,
White River Junction, and Woodstock
120 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            30           100          60
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          52           81           49           63
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S  5 G19                  NW  8 G20
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  5         SW  9 G23    S  8 G20     NW 11 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.48         0.21
Precip duration                    1            10           2
Precip begin                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Humidity (%)          96           44           100          44
Chance thunder (%)    0            15           13           1
Mixing hgt                         5060                      5720
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 20                     N 23
Ventilation rate                   101200                    131560
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ034-070815-
South Central Greens-
Including the cities of Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington,
Bethel, and Ludlow
120 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            30           100          50
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          53           79           48           59
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    SW  6 G21                 NW  9 G23
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW  5 G23    SW  9 G24    SW  8 G25    NW 10 G23
Precip amount         0.00         0.06         0.54         0.21
Precip duration                    1            10           1
Precip begin                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   1 PM
Humidity (%)          93           47           100          48
Chance thunder (%)    0            16           13           0
Mixing hgt                         4780                      5520
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 21                     N 22
Ventilation rate                   100380                    121440
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ032-070815-
Central Vermont-
Including the cities of Richmond, Underhill, Johnson, Stowe,
Montpelier, Waitsfield, Starksboro, Bradford, Randolph,
and St. Johnsbury
120 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            50           100          50
Precip type           None         Showers      Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          52           80           48           60
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S  6 G24                  NW  7 G21
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW  5 G17    SW  8 G26    SW  7 G24    NW  9 G24
Precip amount         0.00         0.08         0.62         0.18
Precip duration                    1            11           1
Precip begin                       1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   12 PM
Humidity (%)          94           44           100          46
Chance thunder (%)    0            18           17           0
Mixing hgt                         5090                      6320
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 23                     NW 22
Ventilation rate                   117070                    139040
KBDI                  501-600      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ031-070815-
Northeast Kingdom-
Including the cities of Derby, Newport, Island Pond, Lunenburg,
and Hardwick
120 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            50           100          50
Precip type           None         Showers      Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          51           80           47           58
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S  5 G20                  NW  6 G18
20ftWnd PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      SW  7 G24    SW  7 G23    NW  8 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.10         0.73         0.17
Precip duration                    1            11           1
Precip begin                       1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   12 PM
Humidity (%)          91           41           100          47
Chance thunder (%)    0            14           20           1
Mixing hgt                         5450                      6310
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 25                     NW 21
Ventilation rate                   136250                    132510
KBDI                  501-600      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ205-070815-
Champlain Valley of New York-
Including the cities of Champlain, Plattsburgh, Port Henry,
Ticonderoga, and Schroon Lake
120 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            70           100          30
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          54           79           45           61
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S  9 G32                  NW  9 G24
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW  6 G19    SW 11 G32    SW  8 G25    NW 12 G25
Precip amount         0.00         0.11         0.58         0.09
Precip duration                    3            9            1
Precip begin                       11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   11 AM
Humidity (%)          89           47           100          41
Chance thunder (%)    0            14           19           0
Mixing hgt                         4280                      6920
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 22                     NW 21
Ventilation rate                   94160                     145320
KBDI                  301-400      301-400      301-400      301-400

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ204-070815-
Adirondack High Peaks-
Including the cities of Lake Placid, Keene, Mount Van Hoevenberg,
Newcomb, and Wilmington
120 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            70           100          40
Precip type           None         Tstms        Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          51           75           43           57
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    SW  7 G26                 NW  8 G23
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW  6 G25    SW 10 G29    SW  9 G32    NW  9 G24
Precip amount         0.00         0.13         0.64         0.09
Precip duration                    3            10           1
Precip begin                       12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   11 AM
Humidity (%)          93           53           100          46
Chance thunder (%)    0            12           14           0
Mixing hgt                         4150                      6200
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 23                     NW 20
Ventilation rate                   95450                     124000
KBDI                  301-400      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ203-070815-
Northern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Star Lake, Tupper Lake, Pauls Smiths,
and Wanakena
120 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            80           90           30
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          54           74           42           55
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    SW  8 G28                 NW  7 G19
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW  5 G19    SW 10 G31    SW  8 G26    NW  9 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.27         0.74         0.04
Precip duration                    4            9            1
Precip begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   10 AM
Humidity (%)          88           56           100          48
Chance thunder (%)    0            18           17           0
Mixing hgt                         3460                      5990
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 23                     NW 20
Ventilation rate                   79580                     119800
KBDI                  201-300      <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ202-070815-
St. Lawrence-
Including the cities of Massena, Norfolk, Fort Covington, Malone,
Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Brasher Falls, and Gouverneur
120 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            90           90           20
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          59           75           45           58
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    SW 11 G32                 NW  8 G18
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW  7 G26    SW 12 G34    W  8 G27     NW 11 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.34         0.63         0.02
Precip duration                    6            7            0
Precip begin                       6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   10 AM
Humidity (%)          77           53           100          40
Chance thunder (%)    0            23           16           0
Mixing hgt                         3010                      6530
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 24                     NW 17
Ventilation rate                   72240                     111010
KBDI                  301-400      301-400      301-400      301-400

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Northwest winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Patchy frost. Lows in the lower 30s.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Patchy frost. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds
around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$