Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
112
FNUS51 KBTV 091945
FWFBTV
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Northern Vermont and
Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
245 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
...Winds Abating And Dry Until A Warm Front Sunday Night...
.DISCUSSION...
Winds are subsiding after gusting up to 20-25 mph much of the day.
The center of a strong 1032mb high is almost overhead, and as the
sun sets, winds will quickly calm. Radiational cooling should
promote modest recoveries tonight with relative humidity values
around 75 to 85 percent overnight, except over regions above 3000
feet in elevation.
For Sunday, another dry day is expected. The St. Lawrence Valley
is likely to remain at or above 40 percent, but areas east will
likely fall between 30 to 35 percent. Fortunately, winds will
mainly be about 5 to 10 mph at the surface, and as south winds
increase, so will the relative humidities. Light winds and
filtered sunlight should preclude fire weather concerns, but low
humidity values will likely keep fine fuels receptive to burning.
A warm front and a series of low pressure systems will bring some
rain to the region. Between Sunday night and Tuesday, about
0.10-0.33" is most likely.
VTZ030-100915-
Champlain Valley of Vermont-
Including the cities of Burlington, Shelburne, Middlebury,
Vergennes, St. Albans, Swanton, Enosburg Falls, and Bristol
245 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Veterans Day
Cloud cover Mclear Pcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 80 50
Precip type None None Showers Showers
Max/Min Temp 25 51 42 56
20ftWnd AM(mph) S 8 G18 SW 12 G23
20ftWnd PM(mph) Lgt/Var S 10 G21 S 10 G23 SW 10 G21
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.05
Precip duration 7 2
Precip begin 7 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing
Humidity (%) 86 34 100 67
Haines Index 4 4 4 3
LAL 1 1 1 1
Mixing hgt 2600 4090
Transport wnd (mph) S 15 W 21
Ventilation rate 39000 85890
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200 <=200
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ033-035-100915-
Northern Taconics-Lower Connecticut Valley North-
Including the cities of Fair Haven, Rutland, Danby, Springfield,
White River Junction, and Woodstock
245 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Veterans Day
Cloud cover Mclear Pcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 80 40
Precip type None None Showers Showers
Max/Min Temp 22 52 40 57
20ftWnd AM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 10 G26
20ftWnd PM(mph) Lgt/Var S 6 S 6 W 12 G26
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02
Precip duration 7 2
Precip begin 7 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing
Humidity (%) 93 32 100 64
Haines Index 4 5 4 3
LAL 1 1 1 1
Mixing hgt 3020 4820
Transport wnd (mph) SW 14 W 25
Ventilation rate 42280 120500
KBDI 201-300 201-300 201-300 201-300
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ034-100915-
South Central Greens-
Including the cities of Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington,
Bethel, and Ludlow
245 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Veterans Day
Cloud cover Mclear Pcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 90 40
Precip type None None Showers Showers
Max/Min Temp 23 50 39 53
20ftWnd AM(mph) SW 6 G19 SW 15 G35
20ftWnd PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 8 G23 S 8 G34 W 14 G32
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.04
Precip duration 7 2
Precip begin 7 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing
Humidity (%) 87 31 100 73
Haines Index 4 5 5 3
LAL 1 1 1 1
Mixing hgt 2930 4250
Transport wnd (mph) SW 15 W 28
Ventilation rate 43950 119000
KBDI 201-300 201-300 201-300 201-300
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ032-100915-
Central Vermont-
Including the cities of Richmond, Underhill, Johnson, Stowe,
Montpelier, Waitsfield, Starksboro, Bradford, Randolph,
and St. Johnsbury
245 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Veterans Day
Cloud cover Mclear Pcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 80 50
Precip type None None Showers Showers
Max/Min Temp 22 50 38 53
20ftWnd AM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 10 G24
20ftWnd PM(mph) Lgt/Var S 6 G19 S 7 G20 W 11 G24
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.04
Precip duration 6 2
Precip begin 7 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing
Humidity (%) 92 31 100 71
Haines Index 4 5 5 3
LAL 1 1 1 1
Mixing hgt 2910 4300
Transport wnd (mph) SW 13 W 24
Ventilation rate 37830 103200
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200 <=200
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ031-100915-
Northeast Kingdom-
Including the cities of Derby, Newport, Island Pond, Lunenburg,
and Hardwick
245 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Veterans Day
Cloud cover Mclear Pcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 80 70
Precip type None None Showers Showers
Max/Min Temp 21 49 36 51
20ftWnd AM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 10 G19
20ftWnd PM(mph) Lgt/Var S 5 S 5 W 11 G20
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.09
Precip duration 7 5
Precip begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing
Humidity (%) 94 32 100 77
Haines Index 4 5 5 3
LAL 1 1 1 1
Mixing hgt 2620 3700
Transport wnd (mph) SW 10 W 23
Ventilation rate 26200 85100
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200 <=200
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ205-100915-
Champlain Valley of New York-
Including the cities of Champlain, Plattsburgh, Port Henry,
Ticonderoga, and Schroon Lake
245 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Veterans Day
Cloud cover Mclear Pcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 80 50
Precip type None None Showers Showers
Max/Min Temp 24 51 40 56
20ftWnd AM(mph) S 5 G17 SW 12 G32
20ftWnd PM(mph) Lgt/Var S 8 G19 S 7 G21 W 12 G32
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.03
Precip duration 8 3
Precip begin 7 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing
Humidity (%) 87 34 100 67
Haines Index 4 4 4 3
LAL 1 1 1 1
Mixing hgt 2650 4460
Transport wnd (mph) S 13 W 26
Ventilation rate 34450 115960
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200 <=200
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ204-100915-
Adirondack High Peaks-
Including the cities of Lake Placid, Keene, Mount Van Hoevenberg,
Newcomb, and Wilmington
245 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Veterans Day
Cloud cover Mclear Pcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 80 70
Precip type None None Showers Showers
Max/Min Temp 19 50 38 50
20ftWnd AM(mph) SW 6 G17 SW 17 G42
20ftWnd PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 9 G21 SW 9 G36 W 15 G36
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.06
Precip duration 9 6
Precip begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing
Humidity (%) 85 26 100 77
Haines Index 4 5 4 3
LAL 1 1 1 1
Mixing hgt 2940 4250
Transport wnd (mph) SW 14 W 28
Ventilation rate 41160 119000
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200 <=200
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ203-100915-
Northern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Star Lake, Tupper Lake, Pauls Smiths,
and Wanakena
245 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Veterans Day
Cloud cover Mclear Pcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 80 70
Precip type None None Showers Showers
Max/Min Temp 20 52 41 51
20ftWnd AM(mph) S 6 SW 14 G27
20ftWnd PM(mph) Lgt/Var S 7 G17 S 9 G20 W 13 G28
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.08
Precip duration 9 9
Precip begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing
Humidity (%) 86 31 100 80
Haines Index 4 5 3 3
LAL 1 1 1 1
Mixing hgt 2440 4030
Transport wnd (mph) S 15 W 28
Ventilation rate 36600 112840
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200 <=200
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ202-100915-
St. Lawrence-
Including the cities of Massena, Norfolk, Fort Covington, Malone,
Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Brasher Falls, and Gouverneur
245 PM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Veterans Day
Cloud cover Mclear Pcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 80 60
Precip type None None Showers Showers
Max/Min Temp 25 53 43 55
20ftWnd AM(mph) S 5 SW 14 G29
20ftWnd PM(mph) Lgt/Var S 5 S 6 G19 SW 14 G29
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.06
Precip duration 9 4
Precip begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing
Humidity (%) 83 35 100 69
Haines Index 4 4 3 3
LAL 1 1 1 1
Mixing hgt 2730 3990
Transport wnd (mph) S 13 W 28
Ventilation rate 35490 111720
KBDI 201-300 201-300 201-300 201-300
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 30s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the mid 40s. West winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. North
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the mid 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the mid 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$