Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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FNUS51 KBTV 070551
FWFBTV

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Northern Vermont and
Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
151 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

...Fire Weather Concerns Continue Today Ahead of Widespread Rain...

.DISCUSSION...
An area of showers associated with a cold front will cross the
region from northwest to southeast today and will easily produce a
wetting rain. Ahead of the showers, minimum relative humidity
values will be higher than Monday, but still dropping down into
the 35 to 45 percent range across much of Vermont, lowest east of
the Greens. Northern New York should see showers early enough to
keep relative humidity above 50 percent through the day. Gusty
south to southwest winds are expected to be more widespread than
yesterday, gusting 20 to 30 mph, with the highest gusts across
northern New York and the Champlain Valley. Total rainfall amounts
through tonight are expected to range from 0.50 inch in far
southeastern Vermont up to 1.25 inch over much of northern New
York and northern Vermont. Locally higher amounts are possible.
Winds will turn to the north to northwest and remain gusty on
Wednesday, but relative humidities will generally stay above 40
percent.

VTZ030-072015-
Champlain Valley of Vermont-
Including the cities of Burlington, Shelburne, Middlebury,
Vergennes, St. Albans, Swanton, Enosburg Falls, and Bristol
151 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     70           100          60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          80           49           62
20ftWnd AM(mph)       S 12 G27                  NW 10 G28
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S 13 G28     S 11 G25     NW 13 G28
Precip amount         0.12         0.84         0.11
Precip duration       2            12           1
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   12 PM
Humidity (%)          46           100          44
Chance thunder (%)    15           16           0
Mixing hgt            4030                      6060
Transport wnd (mph)   S 23                      NW 21
Ventilation rate      92690                     127260
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ033-035-072015-
Northern Taconics-Lower Connecticut Valley North-
Including the cities of Fair Haven, Rutland, Danby, Springfield,
White River Junction, and Woodstock
151 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     40           100          90
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          82           48           65
20ftWnd AM(mph)       S  6 G20                  NW  8 G23
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW 10 G25    S  8 G21     NW 11 G24
Precip amount         0.08         0.53         0.22
Precip duration       1            8            3
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   1 PM
Humidity (%)          43           100          42
Chance thunder (%)    11           18           1
Mixing hgt            5300                      5720
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 22                     N 21
Ventilation rate      116600                    120120
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ034-072015-
South Central Greens-
Including the cities of Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington,
Bethel, and Ludlow
151 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     40           100          80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          79           47           62
20ftWnd AM(mph)       SW  7 G23                 NW  9 G26
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW 11 G27    SW  9 G29    NW 12 G26
Precip amount         0.10         0.61         0.21
Precip duration       1            9            3
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   1 PM
Humidity (%)          46           100          47
Chance thunder (%)    11           17           1
Mixing hgt            5420                      5350
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 24                     NW 22
Ventilation rate      130080                    117700
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ032-072015-
Central Vermont-
Including the cities of Richmond, Underhill, Johnson, Stowe,
Montpelier, Waitsfield, Starksboro, Bradford, Randolph,
and St. Johnsbury
151 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     50           100          80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          81           47           61
20ftWnd AM(mph)       S  6 G24                  NW  8 G25
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW 10 G28    SW  8 G25    NW 11 G26
Precip amount         0.09         0.72         0.17
Precip duration       1            11           2
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   1 PM
Humidity (%)          42           100          47
Chance thunder (%)    11           17           0
Mixing hgt            5820                      5700
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 24                     NW 22
Ventilation rate      139680                    125400
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ031-072015-
Northeast Kingdom-
Including the cities of Derby, Newport, Island Pond, Lunenburg,
and Hardwick
151 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     50           100          80
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          81           46           59
20ftWnd AM(mph)       S  6 G20                  NW  7 G21
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW  9 G26    SW  8 G25    NW  9 G23
Precip amount         0.08         0.79         0.17
Precip duration       1            12           2
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   1 PM
Humidity (%)          40           100          49
Chance thunder (%)    9            15           0
Mixing hgt            5810                      5580
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 25                     NW 21
Ventilation rate      145250                    117180
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ205-072015-
Champlain Valley of New York-
Including the cities of Champlain, Plattsburgh, Port Henry,
Ticonderoga, and Schroon Lake
151 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     80           90           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          80           47           62
20ftWnd AM(mph)       S  9 G28                  NW  9 G27
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW 11 G31    SW  9 G26    NW 13 G27
Precip amount         0.10         0.61         0.07
Precip duration       3            12           1
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   10 AM
Humidity (%)          48           100          41
Chance thunder (%)    17           19           0
Mixing hgt            4510                      6280
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 22                     NW 21
Ventilation rate      99220                     131880
KBDI                  301-400      301-400      301-400

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ204-072015-
Adirondack High Peaks-
Including the cities of Lake Placid, Keene, Mount Van Hoevenberg,
Newcomb, and Wilmington
151 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     80           90           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          76           42           58
20ftWnd AM(mph)       SW  8 G27                 NW 10 G27
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW 11 G33    SW 11 G35    NW 11 G28
Precip amount         0.13         0.64         0.07
Precip duration       4            12           1
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   10 AM
Humidity (%)          54           100          46
Chance thunder (%)    17           16           0
Mixing hgt            4600                      5670
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 23                     NW 21
Ventilation rate      105800                    119070
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ203-072015-
Northern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Star Lake, Tupper Lake, Pauls Smiths,
and Wanakena
151 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     90           100          30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          74           44           56
20ftWnd AM(mph)       S  8 G26                  NW  7 G23
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW 10 G31    SW  9 G26    NW 10 G24
Precip amount         0.25         0.76         0.03
Precip duration       5            11           1
Precip begin          9 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   10 AM
Humidity (%)          58           100          48
Chance thunder (%)    23           21           0
Mixing hgt            3970                      5290
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 21                     NW 20
Ventilation rate      83370                     105800
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ202-072015-
St. Lawrence-
Including the cities of Massena, Norfolk, Fort Covington, Malone,
Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Brasher Falls, and Gouverneur
151 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     90           100          20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Max/Min Temp          75           46           58
20ftWnd AM(mph)       S  9 G29                  NW  8 G21
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW 12 G32    W  9 G27     NW 11 G24
Precip amount         0.40         0.69         0.01
Precip duration       6            9            0
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   9 AM
Humidity (%)          58           100          41
Chance thunder (%)    27           30           0
Mixing hgt            2750                      5730
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 21                     N 18
Ventilation rate      57750                     103140
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Northwest winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Patchy frost. Lows in the lower 30s.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Patchy frost. Highs around 60. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds
around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$