722
FXUS61 KBTV 060241
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
Issued by National Weather Service Albany NY
1041 PM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Quiet conditions will develop tonight with winds calming. More
wet weather is expected beginning Friday afternoon and
continuing into Saturday. Generally seasonable weather is
expected next week, and an unsettled pattern should lead to more
chances for rain.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 1035 PM EDT Thursday...Showers have moved out of the
region with some lingering mid to high clouds across the region.
No major changes to this forecast update. Some haze has briefly
reduced some visibilities across the St. Lawrence Valley as the
boundary layer diurnally sinks towards the surface, but this
should be short lived with nocturnal boundary layer mixing.

Previous Discussion...Tonight will be quiet transitioning to additional
showers and thunderstorms by Friday early afternoon. The latest
consensus has trended wetter and cooler, especially in southern
portions of the region, where greatest moisture and instability
will be present. North and west of the frontal zone there
should be more sunshine into the afternoon hours, so best bet
for a fully dry day with seasonably warm conditions will be
across the St. Lawrence Valley eastward into northwestern
Vermont. Most locations will see highs in the 70s and overnight
lows near 60.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 330 PM EDT Thursday...Did not make many changes for the
short term portion of the forecast. Additional rainfall,
possibly heavy, is expected on Saturday. At this time biggest
totals are expected across our southern Vermont zones. In these
areas around an inch and a half of rainfall is possible.
Temperatures will be cooler and closer to normal on Saturday,
max temps in the 70s. WPC has much of our region in the
excessive rainfall outlook on both Friday and Saturday. Some
thunder is possible but not really expecting severe storms on
Saturday.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 400 AM EDT Thursday...The second half of the weekend is
looking more favorable as we`ll see some brief ridging settle
over the region. A few showers can`t be ruled out, but expect if
any develop they`ll be pretty isolated. Otherwise, expect
partly sunny skies and highs in the 70s. Thereafter, we`ll see a
return to a more active weather pattern as the mid/upper level
trough deepens across the Central Plains/Great Lakes regions.
The result will be an unsettled weather pattern for our region
as a series of shortwaves and frontal boundaries pinwheel push
through. As per usual, exact timing of these features is
difficult at this time, so stayed close to NBM through this
period, which gives showers chances every day through mid week.
Temperatures will remain seasonable with daytime highs in the
70s to around 80F and overnight lows in the 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Through 00Z Saturday...VFR conditions will continue at all
terminals through majority of the TAF period. Winds over the
area will continue to trend toward variable and calm beyond
sunset and should remain predominately light and variable
through the period. BTV/PBG may hold on to a prevailing wind for
a few more hours from channeled flow, but should also reach
variable winds overnight. A few scattered showers are possible
between 09-12Z at SLK/BTV/RUT/MPV along a slow moving cold
front. Expanded shower and possible thunderstorm chances
increase at all sites outside of MSS/EFK tomorrow beyond 18Z.
While winds will generally be light, they may become briefly
gusty under any thunderstorms that develop tomorrow afternoon.

Outlook...

Friday night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Saturday: MVFR. Chance SHRA.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Monday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Chance TSRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Danzig
NEAR TERM...Danzig/Neiles
SHORT TERM...Hastings/Neiles
LONG TERM...Hastings
AVIATION...Danzig