


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
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694 FXUS64 KBRO 121729 AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1229 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1224 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 High pressure over the Gulf will begin to expand westward as we head through the weekend into early next week. Chances for rainfall remain under 10% today and Sunday. Monday a surface trough will move into central Texas bringing a slightly better chance of rainfall (around 15%) in the afternoon across portions of the northern Ranchlands. Otherwise, high pressure over the region will maintain dry conditions outside of an isolated seabreeze shower or thunderstorm, though chances remain under 10%. Breezy conditions will continue to with gusts up to 30 mph today and between 20 and 25 mph for much the Valley and along the coast through next week. Temperatures will remain warm through the period with highs in the mid to upper 90s and heat indices between 100-110 degrees. Heat Risk will remain Moderate across much of Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley into next week. If spending a prolonged period of time outdoors, remember to practice heat safety to prevent heat-related illnesses. A moderate risk of rip currents will prevail along area beaches through Sunday. Be careful if venturing into the water and remember rip currents are highest near piers and jetties. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 VFR conditions will prevail at all aerodromes through this evening with wind gusts to around 30 kts. Winds will become lighter this evening. Low clouds move in with MVFR conditions expected after midnight through Sunday morning at all sites. && .MARINE... Issued at 1224 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 An enhanced pressure gradient across the lower Texas coast will maintain Small Craft Caution on the Laguna Madre and nearshore Gulf waters through the weekend with winds 15-20 kts. By Monday, more favorable conditions will return with gentle to moderate southeasterly winds and slight moderate seas though caution conditions are possible each afternoon, mainly on the Laguna Madre. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 80 93 79 93 / 0 0 0 10 HARLINGEN 78 96 77 95 / 0 10 0 10 MCALLEN 80 97 80 97 / 0 10 0 10 RIO GRANDE CITY 78 98 77 97 / 10 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 80 87 80 87 / 0 0 0 10 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 79 92 79 92 / 0 0 0 10 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION/MARINE/AVIATION...68