342
FXUS64 KBRO 051128 AAA
AFDBRO

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
628 AM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 1027 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

High pressure across the Gulf continues to build through the
weekend, as the mid-level ridge settles back across the Desert SW
and above normal moisture works back into Deep South Texas. Low
rain chances, below 25 percent, return Saturday from north to
south, mainly across the ranchlands, and Sunday along the sea
breeze. Expect slightly below normal highs and near normal lows.
The increased humidity drives a Moderate (level 2 of 4) Heat Risk
both Saturday and Sunday. Southeasterly winds may once again gust
towards 30 mph Saturday afternoon and 25 mph Sunday. Will hold
a moderate risk of rip currents another day along the lower Texas
coast.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Saturday)
Issued at 1027 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

Low level moisture continues rain chances, mainly along the sea
breeze Monday and Tuesday, with the highest POPs still generally
less than 25 percent on Monday and Tuesday. Drier air arrives by
mid-late week as high pressure builds again, cutting down rain
chances further. Expect near to slightly below normal
temperatures through mid week, with slightly above normal
temperatures by late week. Minor (level 1 of 4) to Moderate (level
2 of 4) Heat Risk is expected daily.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 AM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025

Some low level stratus clouds and light to moderate southeast
winds prevail across Deep South Texas early this morning. Brief
periods of MVFR ceilings may impact aerodromes through around mid-
morning. Therefore, will include a TEMPO through 14Z at all RGV
terminals. Otherwise, VFR conditions and breezy southeast to south
winds are expected later this morning into the afternoon. Winds
will gradually decrease later this evening. There is a low
probability of MVFR ceilings returning later tonight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1027 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

Now through Next Saturday...Surface high pressure generally holds
across the Western Gulf with light to moderate southeasterly
winds through the forecast period, allowing seas to gradually
diminish by Sunday and remain favorable into next weekend. Small
Craft Caution conditions continue through Saturday, mainly across
the bay due to gusty winds. Isolated showers and thunderstorms
offshore return Saturday into Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BROWNSVILLE             89  78  90  77 /  10  10  20  10
HARLINGEN               91  76  92  75 /  10  10  20  10
MCALLEN                 92  78  93  77 /  10  10  20   0
RIO GRANDE CITY         91  76  91  75 /  20  10  20  10
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND      85  79  86  79 /  10  10  20  10
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL     89  77  89  77 /  10  10  20  10

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...56-Hallman
LONG TERM....56-Hallman
AVIATION...63-KC