Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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734
FNUS71 KBOX 021027
FWSBOX

Spot Forecast for Quinebaug Rx...CT-CTS
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
627 AM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions today with afternoon relative humidity dropping to
25 to 30 percent. NE winds 5-10 mph will shift to SE this
afternoon, then S around 10 mph by late today.

Periods of rain develop tonight into Thursday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 46.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Dewpoint............12 increasing to 17 late in the afternoon.
Min apparent temp...26.
Surface winds (mph).Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    south around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    south around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 12 mph shifting to the south 7
                    to 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (16700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (40100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................34 to 39 decreasing to 23 to 29 early, then
                    increasing to 35 to 42 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 48 to 55 late in the afternoon.
CEILING (KFT).......25.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30  28  25  31  38  44  56  67  79
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............31  35  38  40  42  44  45  45  44
Dewpoint........13  12  11  12  13  14  16  17  19
RH..............47  38  32  31  30  29  31  32  36
Heat index (F)..26  31  34  37  38  41  42  41  40
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.9   9   8   9   9   9   12  13  15
Surface wnd dir.NE  NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S
Surface wnd spd.5   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7
Surface wnd gst.9   9   8   9   9   9   12  13  15
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 2.9 3.3 3.6 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.0
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  9   6   6   6   7   8   9   12
LVORI...........1   1   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
ADI.............39  34  23  25  29  35  42  48  55
Vrate kt-ft/1K..27  24  17  18  21  26  31  36  40
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Slight chance of rain late in the
                    evening. Chance of rain after midnight.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 25 percent until just
                    after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Dewpoint............22 increasing to 36.
Min apparent temp...30.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    early in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (39400 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to fair (13900 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................46 decreasing to 9 early in the evening, then
                    increasing to 12 to 21 until just after
                    midnight.
CEILING (KFT).......10 decreasing to 0.8.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........83  86  90  93  95  98  98  98  98  98  98  98
Weather cov.....            SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....            RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   20  20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30
Temp............42  40  38  37  36  36  36  36  36  37  37  38
Dewpoint........21  22  24  26  28  30  31  32  33  34  35  36
RH..............43  48  57  64  72  79  82  85  89  89  92  92
Heat index (F)..37  35  32  31  30  30  30  30  30  31  30  32
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
20 FT wind spd..8   7   8   8   8   7   8   8   8   8   9   9
20 FT wind gust.15  15  16  16  16  15  15  16  16  16  18  20
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
Surface wnd spd.8   7   8   8   8   7   8   8   8   8   9   9
Surface wnd gst.15  15  16  16  16  15  15  16  16  16  18  20
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 2.7 2.1 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.14  14  14  16  18  18  18  16  17  18  17  16
LVORI...........1   2   2   2   3   4   3   4   4   4   5   5
ADI.............46  9   19  18  21  12  21  18  19  21  19  14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..39  32  25  22  30  30  29  20  21  22  20  14
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Ceiling (kft)...10  9.0 7.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain likely in the morning, then chance
                    of rain in the afternoon.
CWR.................25 percent increasing to 46 percent through
                    early afternoon, then decreasing to 6 percent
                    late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........81 percent.
Dewpoint............39 increasing to 53.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 9 to 16 mph with gusts to around 33
                    mph shifting to the southwest around 15 mph
                    with gusts to around 30 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 9 mph with gusts to around
                    21 mph shifting to the southwest around 15 mph
                    with gusts to around 30 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........98  98  98  97  97  96  95  93  92  92  92  92
Weather cov.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............30  30  50  50  50  50  50  50  10  10  10  10
Temp............40  41  42  45  48  51  53  55  57  58  59  60
Dewpoint........38  39  41  43  46  48  50  51  53  53  54  54
RH..............92  92  96  93  93  89  89  86  86  83  83  81
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..9   10  10  13  14  14  15  15  16  16  15  15
20 FT wind gust.21  22  23  24  26  28  30  31  33  32  30  29
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.9   10  10  13  14  14  15  15  16  16  15  15
Surface wnd gst.21  22  23  24  26  28  30  31  33  32  30  29
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

$$
Forecaster...KJC
Requested by...Olney Knight
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2508668.0/BOX
.DELDT 04/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Olney.knight@ct.gov