068
FNUS71 KBOX 191844
FWSBOX

Spot Forecast for Camp Edwards A-4 Wildfire...Massachusetts Army National Guard
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
244 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 EDT on July 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Southwest winds around 15 mph this afternoon will diminish to
around 10 mph this evening and into tonight. Temperatures near 80
this afternoon will result in minimum relative humidity values
between 50 and 60 percent. The relative humidity should recover
this evening about 75 percent after 7 or 8 pm this evening.
Overnight low temps will bottom out in the upper 60s to near 70 as
low clouds develop. Dry weather prevails most of tonight...but
shower and thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall impact the
region Sunday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Dewpoint............63.
Max apparent temp...79.
Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds around 12 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (31400 knot-ft).
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................32 to 35.
CEILING (KFT).......25.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds around 7 mph.

TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   13  9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0
Temp............79  78  78
Dewpoint........62  63  64
RH..............56  60  62
Heat index (F)..79  78  78
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.17  17  17
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.7   7   7
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.12  12  12
Surface wnd gst.17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 2.8 2.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.14  15  15
LVORI...........1   1   1
ADI.............35  34  32
Vrate kt-ft/1K..40  36  31
Ventrate Cat....FR  PR  PR
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
CWR.................4 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Dewpoint............65.
Max apparent temp...76.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 7 to 10 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (24500 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................6 to 36.
CEILING (KFT).......24 decreasing to 2.0.
Eye level winds.....South winds up to 6 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........11  5   9   19  19  23  23  34  47  51  56  85
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............76  75  72  70  70  69  69  69  69  70  70  70
Dewpoint........64  64  64  64  65  65  66  66  66  67  67  67
RH..............66  69  76  81  84  87  90  90  90  90  90  90
Heat index (F)..76  75  72  70  70  69  69  69  69  70  70  70
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..10  9   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8
20 FT wind gust.17  16  15  14  14  14  14  13  14  14  14  14
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.6   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  9   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
Surface wnd dir.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.10  9   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8
Surface wnd gst.17  16  15  14  14  14  14  13  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.15  14  13  13  13  13  13  14  14  15  13  13
LVORI...........3   3   4   4   5   5   6   6   5   5   5   5
ADI.............36  15  8   8   6   6   6   6   9   10  8   14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..25  10  7   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   4   6
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  24  22  22  21  12  7.6 5.3 3.3 2.0

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny.
                    Showers through the day. Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning, then slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent increasing to 29 percent early, then
                    decreasing to 18 percent early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 8 percent late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........85 percent.
Dewpoint............70 increasing to 73 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Max apparent temp...79.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 8 to 14 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (33000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................1 to 36.
CEILING (KFT).......1.4 increasing to 1.9 in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 1.3 around noon increasing to 2.8
                    early in the afternoon increasing to 5.3
                    increasing to 7.9 late in the afternoon
                    increasing to 9.5.
Eye level winds.....South winds 5 to 8 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........89  77  81  75  79  80  79  74  58  54  42  35
Weather cov.....    SCH CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF LKY CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        ISO CHC CHC CHC SCH ISO
CWR.............0   10  20  30  30  20  20  20  10  10  10  10
Temp............70  71  73  74  76  76  78  78  79  79  79  79
Dewpoint........68  70  71  72  73  73  74  74  74  74  74  74
RH..............93  97  93  93  90  90  88  88  85  85  85  85
Heat index (F)..70  71  73  74  76  76  78  78  79  79  79  79
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   10  10  12  13  14  14  14  14  13
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  17  18  20  21  22  22  22  22  21
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
Eye lvl wnd gst.9   9   9   10  11  12  13  13  13  13  13  13
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.8   8   9   10  10  12  13  14  14  14  14  13
Surface wnd gst.15  15  15  17  18  20  21  22  22  22  22  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  15  17  15  16  20  20  20  17  18
LVORI...........5   5   5   5   4   7   6   6   6   4   4   4
ADI.............14  16  19  25  30  1   1   1   1   36  31  32
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8   11  14  20  25  21  25  30  33  32  27  26
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Ceiling (kft)...1.4 2.3 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.3 1.3 1.7 2.8 5.3 7.9 9.5

$$
Forecaster...Frank
Requested by...Joel Carlson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518267.0/BOX
.DELDT 07/19/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joelcarlson@comcast.net