Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
319
UXUS97 KBOU 030119
SRGBOU
Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder, Colorado
1915 MDT Saturday, August 2, 2025
This forecast is for Sunday, August 3, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 82.6 F/28.1 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1342 ft/min (6.8 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 18914 ft MSL (13636 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 88.0 F/31.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1200 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 9198 ft MSL (3920 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 08/04....... Excellent
Wave Soaring Index............................. Poor
Wave Soaring Index trend (to 1800 MDT)......... No change
Height of stable layer (12-18K ft MSL)......... None
Weak PVA/NVA (through 1800 MDT)................ Neither
Potential height of wave....................... 40245 ft MSL (34967 ft AGL)
Wave soaring outlook for Monday 08/04.......... Poor
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:00:55 / 20:10:22 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 9 min 27 sec (849 min 27 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:05:39 MDT... 67.48 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/03/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15328 ft MSL (10050 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 17088 ft MSL (11810 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17413 ft MSL (12135 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -2.9
K index......................... +14.6
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -58.6 -73.5 290 21 11 3.6 2.0 M M M M M
45000 -52.9 -63.2 295 43 22 3.6 2.0 M M M M M
40000 -47.7 -53.9 295 63 32 1.8 1.0 M M M M M
38000 -46.5 -51.7 295 62 32 1.9 1.1 M M M M M
36000 -45.4 -49.7 290 60 31 2.0 1.1 M M M M M
34000 -42.8 -45.0 290 52 27 5.3 2.9 M M M M M
32000 -39.6 -39.3 285 41 21 5.3 2.9 M M M M M
30000 -34.7 -30.5 285 36 19 8.0 4.4 40.3 104.6 7.0 M M
29000 -32.3 -26.1 290 36 18 8.0 4.4 39.7 103.4 6.6 M M
28000 -30.0 -22.0 290 35 18 7.8 4.3 39.1 102.4 6.2 M M
27000 -27.7 -17.9 290 33 17 7.6 4.2 38.2 100.7 5.5 M M
26000 -25.4 -13.7 295 32 16 7.6 4.2 37.3 99.2 4.9 M M
25000 -23.2 -9.8 295 30 16 7.6 4.2 36.6 97.9 4.4 M M
24000 -21.0 -5.8 300 30 15 7.1 3.9 35.6 96.1 3.6 M M
23000 -18.9 -2.0 300 29 15 7.1 3.9 34.6 94.3 2.8 M M
22000 -16.8 1.8 300 28 15 7.2 3.9 33.8 92.8 2.1 M M
21000 -14.6 5.7 305 28 15 7.5 4.1 32.9 91.2 1.3 M M
20000 -12.4 9.7 305 29 15 7.5 4.1 32.1 89.7 0.6 M M
19500 -11.3 11.7 305 29 15 7.4 4.1 31.7 89.1 0.3 M M
19000 -10.1 13.8 305 29 15 8.8 4.8 31.5 88.6 0.1 M M
18500 -8.8 16.2 305 29 15 8.8 4.8 31.3 88.3 -0.1 1306 6.6
18000 -7.5 18.5 305 29 15 8.8 4.9 31.1 88.0 -0.3 1252 6.4
17500 -6.2 20.8 305 28 15 8.9 4.9 31.0 87.8 -0.4 1197 6.1
17000 -4.8 23.4 305 28 14 8.9 4.9 30.8 87.5 -0.5 1142 5.8
16500 -3.5 25.7 305 27 14 9.2 5.1 30.7 87.3 -0.7 1087 5.5
16000 -2.1 28.2 310 25 13 9.2 5.1 30.6 87.1 -0.8 1031 5.2
15500 -0.8 30.6 310 24 12 9.0 4.9 30.5 87.0 -0.9 976 5.0
15000 1.2 34.2 310 22 11 8.9 4.9 30.3 86.6 -1.1 895 4.5
14500 2.5 36.5 310 20 10 9.0 5.0 30.2 86.3 -1.3 841 4.3
14000 3.8 38.8 310 19 10 9.0 5.0 30.1 86.1 -1.4 786 4.0
13500 5.2 41.4 315 17 9 9.3 5.1 30.0 86.0 -1.5 731 3.7
13000 6.6 43.9 315 17 9 9.4 5.2 29.9 85.9 -1.6 674 3.4
12500 8.0 46.4 315 16 8 9.3 5.1 29.9 85.8 -1.7 618 3.1
12000 9.3 48.7 320 16 8 9.2 5.0 29.8 85.6 -1.8 562 2.9
11500 10.7 51.3 320 15 8 9.1 5.0 29.7 85.4 -1.9 507 2.6
11000 12.0 53.6 315 15 8 8.7 4.7 29.6 85.2 -2.0 452 2.3
10500 13.4 56.1 315 15 8 4.1 2.3 29.4 85.0 -2.2 397 2.0
10250 13.5 56.3 315 15 8 5.0 2.8 28.8 83.9 -2.8 386 2.0
10000 14.2 57.6 315 14 7 11.9 6.6 28.9 83.9 -2.7 355 1.8
9750 15.1 59.2 310 14 7 11.5 6.3 29.0 84.1 -2.7 324 1.6
9500 15.9 60.6 310 14 7 8.1 4.5 29.1 84.3 -2.6 292 1.5
9250 16.2 61.2 305 14 7 4.0 2.2 28.7 83.6 -3.0 274 1.4
9000 16.6 61.9 305 13 7 8.2 4.5 28.4 83.1 -3.3 254 1.3
8750 17.4 63.3 300 13 7 11.1 6.1 28.4 83.1 -3.3 225 1.1
8500 18.1 64.6 300 13 7 7.5 4.1 28.4 83.2 -3.3 196 1.0
8250 18.5 65.3 295 13 6 4.5 2.5 28.1 82.6 -3.7 177 0.9
8000 18.8 65.8 290 12 6 6.5 3.6 27.8 82.0 -4.1 159 0.8
7750 19.3 66.7 285 12 6 7.7 4.2 27.6 81.6 -4.3 136 0.7
7500 19.8 67.6 280 11 6 4.6 2.5 27.3 81.2 -4.6 115 0.6
7250 20.0 68.0 275 11 6 2.2 1.2 26.8 80.2 -5.2 103 0.5
7000 20.1 68.2 270 11 5 3.4 1.8 26.3 79.3 -5.7 90 0.5
6750 20.3 68.5 265 10 5 -0.1 -0.1 25.7 78.3 -6.3 79 0.4
6500 20.0 68.0 255 10 5 -4.6 -2.5 24.7 76.5 -7.4 80 0.4
6250 19.5 67.1 250 10 5 -5.6 -3.1 23.6 74.5 -8.6 86 0.4
6000 19.1 66.4 245 10 5 -3.3 -1.8 22.5 72.5 -9.8 92 0.5
5750 18.8 65.8 240 9 5 -8.0 -4.4 21.5 70.6 -10.8 94 0.5
5500 17.6 63.7 230 7 3 -21.8 -11.9 19.6 67.3 -12.8 123 0.6
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/03/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/03/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +123.2 LI... -0.4 | CAPE... +190.8 LI... -1.8
CINH... -220.6 K Index... +19.1 | CINH... -31.2 K Index... +18.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -58.9 -74.0 300 24 12 3.9 2.1 | -58.8 -73.8 300 22 12 4.0 2.2
45000 -53.1 -63.6 300 46 24 3.1 1.7 | -53.4 -64.1 305 46 24 2.1 1.2
40000 -48.5 -55.3 305 67 34 3.0 1.6 | -49.9 -57.8 310 80 41 4.4 2.4
38000 -46.7 -52.1 305 67 35 3.0 1.6 | -47.3 -53.1 315 81 42 4.4 2.4
36000 -44.9 -48.8 305 68 35 3.0 1.7 | -44.6 -48.3 315 81 42 4.4 2.4
34000 -42.0 -43.6 305 62 32 5.5 3.0 | -41.6 -42.9 315 73 37 5.3 2.9
32000 -38.3 -36.9 300 53 27 5.5 3.0 | -38.1 -36.6 310 59 30 5.1 2.8
30000 -34.2 -29.6 300 46 24 7.2 3.9 | -33.8 -28.8 310 51 26 7.5 4.1
29000 -32.0 -25.6 300 43 22 7.2 3.9 | -31.6 -24.9 310 47 24 7.5 4.1
28000 -29.9 -21.8 300 40 21 6.8 3.7 | -29.3 -20.7 310 43 22 7.8 4.3
27000 -28.0 -18.4 300 38 19 6.3 3.5 | -26.9 -16.4 310 41 21 8.0 4.4
26000 -26.1 -15.0 300 35 18 6.4 3.5 | -24.5 -12.1 310 39 20 8.0 4.4
25000 -24.2 -11.6 300 33 17 6.3 3.4 | -22.1 -7.8 310 37 19 8.1 4.5
24000 -22.0 -7.6 300 32 16 7.6 4.2 | -20.2 -4.4 305 34 18 6.0 3.3
23000 -19.8 -3.6 300 31 16 7.6 4.2 | -18.4 -1.1 305 32 17 6.0 3.3
22000 -17.5 0.5 300 31 16 7.6 4.2 | -16.7 1.9 300 30 15 6.1 3.4
21000 -15.2 4.6 300 29 15 8.0 4.4 | -14.8 5.4 300 29 15 6.5 3.5
20000 -12.9 8.8 305 28 14 8.0 4.4 | -12.9 8.8 300 28 14 6.5 3.6
19500 -11.7 10.9 305 27 14 8.0 4.4 | -11.9 10.6 300 27 14 6.4 3.5
19000 -10.5 13.1 305 27 14 7.9 4.4 | -10.9 12.4 300 26 14 8.4 4.6
18500 -9.3 15.3 310 26 13 8.0 4.4 | -9.7 14.5 300 26 13 8.4 4.6
18000 -8.2 17.2 310 25 13 8.1 4.5 | -7.8 18.0 300 24 13 8.8 4.8
17500 -6.3 20.7 310 23 12 8.4 4.6 | -6.5 20.3 300 23 12 8.8 4.8
17000 -5.1 22.8 315 22 11 8.6 4.7 | -5.2 22.6 305 23 12 8.9 4.9
16500 -3.8 25.2 315 20 10 8.9 4.9 | -3.9 25.0 305 22 11 9.1 5.0
16000 -2.5 27.5 315 19 10 8.9 4.9 | -2.5 27.5 305 21 11 9.1 5.0
15500 -1.1 30.0 315 17 9 9.0 4.9 | -1.2 29.8 305 21 11 9.3 5.1
15000 0.2 32.4 310 16 8 9.0 4.9 | 0.2 32.4 305 20 10 9.3 5.1
14500 1.5 34.7 310 15 8 9.1 5.0 | 1.5 34.7 305 20 10 8.8 4.8
14000 2.9 37.2 310 14 7 9.1 5.0 | 2.8 37.0 310 19 10 8.8 4.8
13500 4.2 39.6 310 13 7 9.1 5.0 | 4.1 39.4 310 19 10 8.8 4.8
13000 5.5 41.9 310 13 7 9.0 5.0 | 5.4 41.7 310 18 9 8.8 4.8
12500 6.9 44.4 310 13 6 9.1 4.9 | 6.7 44.1 310 17 9 8.6 4.7
12000 8.2 46.8 315 13 6 8.9 4.9 | 8.0 46.4 315 16 8 8.4 4.6
11500 9.5 49.1 315 13 7 8.5 4.7 | 9.2 48.6 315 15 8 8.2 4.5
11000 10.7 51.3 320 13 7 7.8 4.3 | 10.4 50.7 320 14 7 7.8 4.3
10500 11.9 53.4 325 13 7 4.0 2.2 | 11.6 52.9 325 13 7 3.9 2.1
10250 12.0 53.6 325 13 7 4.2 2.3 | 11.7 53.1 325 13 7 4.8 2.6
10000 12.6 54.7 330 13 7 10.1 5.5 | 12.4 54.3 330 12 6 10.6 5.8
9750 13.3 55.9 335 13 7 9.8 5.4 | 13.0 55.4 340 12 6 9.6 5.2
9500 14.0 57.2 335 14 7 8.0 4.4 | 13.7 56.7 345 11 6 8.1 4.4
9250 14.5 58.1 340 14 7 5.6 3.0 | 14.2 57.6 350 11 6 6.4 3.5
9000 14.9 58.8 340 14 7 7.8 4.3 | 14.7 58.5 350 10 5 9.4 5.2
8750 15.6 60.1 345 15 8 9.3 5.1 | 15.5 59.9 355 10 5 11.0 6.1
8500 16.2 61.2 345 15 8 7.5 4.1 | 16.2 61.2 360 10 5 9.1 5.0
8250 16.7 62.1 345 15 8 6.0 3.3 | 16.8 62.2 005 10 5 7.2 3.9
8000 17.1 62.8 345 15 8 7.2 3.9 | 17.4 63.3 005 10 5 9.6 5.3
7750 17.7 63.9 345 15 8 7.8 4.3 | 18.2 64.8 005 10 5 11.5 6.3
7500 18.2 64.8 345 15 8 5.0 2.7 | 19.0 66.2 010 10 5 9.3 5.1
7250 18.4 65.1 345 15 8 3.0 1.6 | 19.6 67.3 010 10 5 7.5 4.1
7000 18.6 65.5 345 15 8 4.5 2.5 | 20.2 68.4 010 10 5 10.2 5.6
6750 19.0 66.2 345 15 7 5.2 2.8 | 21.1 70.0 010 10 5 13.0 7.2
6500 19.3 66.7 345 13 7 3.1 1.7 | 22.0 71.6 010 10 5 11.2 6.2
6250 19.4 66.9 345 12 6 3.0 1.6 | 22.8 73.0 010 10 5 10.6 5.8
6000 19.5 67.1 345 10 5 0.4 0.2 | 23.6 74.5 015 9 5 9.2 5.1
5750 19.5 67.1 345 10 5 6.0 3.3 | 24.4 75.9 015 10 5 15.8 8.7
5500 20.6 69.1 345 8 4 23.8 13.0 | 26.1 79.0 015 9 5 31.5 17.3
08/03/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/03/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +161.2 LI... -1.7 | CAPE... +86.8 LI... -1.1
CINH... -14.5 K Index... +27.9 | CINH... -43.6 K Index... +24.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -61.0 -77.8 310 29 15 2.1 1.2 | -62.4 -80.3 315 25 13 1.3 0.7
45000 -56.7 -70.1 310 55 28 3.9 2.2 | -58.6 -73.5 310 48 25 4.9 2.7
40000 -50.5 -58.9 310 75 38 5.8 3.2 | -51.1 -60.0 305 61 31 5.8 3.2
38000 -47.0 -52.6 315 77 40 5.9 3.2 | -47.6 -53.7 310 65 33 5.8 3.2
36000 -43.5 -46.3 315 80 41 5.8 3.2 | -44.0 -47.2 310 69 35 5.7 3.1
34000 -39.7 -39.5 315 77 40 6.4 3.5 | -39.8 -39.6 310 69 35 7.2 3.9
32000 -35.3 -31.5 315 73 37 6.3 3.5 | -35.0 -31.0 315 68 35 7.4 4.0
30000 -31.3 -24.3 315 62 32 6.7 3.7 | -30.3 -22.5 320 61 31 7.9 4.3
29000 -29.3 -20.7 315 57 29 6.7 3.7 | -27.9 -18.2 320 57 29 7.9 4.3
28000 -27.3 -17.1 310 51 26 6.7 3.7 | -25.6 -14.1 320 53 28 6.6 3.6
27000 -25.3 -13.5 310 47 24 6.7 3.7 | -23.7 -10.7 320 49 25 6.4 3.5
26000 -23.3 -9.9 310 44 22 6.7 3.7 | -21.7 -7.1 315 46 24 6.4 3.5
25000 -21.3 -6.3 310 40 20 6.7 3.7 | -19.8 -3.6 310 42 22 6.3 3.5
24000 -19.2 -2.6 305 38 20 7.1 3.9 | -18.0 -0.4 310 41 21 5.9 3.2
23000 -17.1 1.2 305 38 19 7.1 3.9 | -16.3 2.7 305 40 20 6.0 3.3
22000 -15.0 5.0 300 37 19 6.8 3.7 | -14.5 5.9 300 39 20 6.3 3.5
21000 -13.2 8.2 300 36 18 6.1 3.3 | -12.5 9.5 295 38 19 6.8 3.8
20000 -11.5 11.3 295 35 18 6.1 3.4 | -10.5 13.1 295 37 19 6.9 3.8
19500 -10.6 12.9 295 35 18 5.9 3.3 | -9.5 14.9 290 36 19 6.9 3.8
19000 -9.5 14.9 295 34 17 8.7 4.8 | -8.4 16.9 290 35 18 8.8 4.8
18500 -8.3 17.1 295 32 17 8.4 4.6 | -7.1 19.2 290 34 18 8.6 4.7
18000 -7.1 19.2 290 31 16 8.3 4.5 | -5.8 21.6 290 33 17 8.1 4.5
17500 -5.9 21.4 295 28 15 8.1 4.5 | -4.7 23.5 285 31 16 7.8 4.3
17000 -4.8 23.4 295 26 13 8.2 4.5 | -3.6 25.5 285 28 15 7.8 4.3
16500 -3.7 25.3 295 23 12 7.4 4.1 | -2.5 27.5 285 26 13 8.1 4.4
16000 -2.6 27.3 300 19 10 7.5 4.1 | -1.3 29.7 285 23 12 8.1 4.4
15500 -0.9 30.4 305 16 8 8.3 4.5 | 0.4 32.7 290 19 10 8.2 4.5
15000 0.3 32.5 310 14 7 8.1 4.5 | 1.6 34.9 290 16 8 8.2 4.5
14500 1.6 34.9 315 12 6 9.2 5.0 | 2.8 37.0 295 14 7 8.5 4.6
14000 2.9 37.2 320 12 6 9.1 5.0 | 4.1 39.4 295 12 6 8.5 4.6
13500 4.3 39.7 330 11 6 8.9 4.9 | 5.3 41.5 300 10 5 8.1 4.5
13000 5.6 42.1 335 10 5 8.8 4.9 | 6.5 43.7 310 7 4 8.1 4.4
12500 6.9 44.4 340 9 5 8.8 4.8 | 7.7 45.9 320 5 2 8.3 4.6
12000 8.2 46.8 350 8 4 8.8 4.8 | 8.9 48.0 340 3 2 8.5 4.6
11500 9.5 49.1 360 8 4 9.0 5.0 | 10.1 50.2 015 3 1 8.7 4.8
11000 10.9 51.6 360 8 4 8.9 4.9 | 11.5 52.7 035 3 2 8.6 4.7
10500 12.2 54.0 005 8 4 3.7 2.0 | 12.8 55.0 050 3 2 4.1 2.3
10250 12.3 54.1 005 8 4 5.7 3.1 | 12.9 55.2 050 3 2 6.3 3.4
10000 13.2 55.8 010 8 4 13.8 7.6 | 13.8 56.8 055 4 2 13.7 7.5
9750 14.1 57.4 010 8 4 12.2 6.7 | 14.8 58.6 055 4 2 12.5 6.9
9500 15.0 59.0 015 8 4 9.0 4.9 | 15.6 60.1 060 4 2 8.6 4.7
9250 15.5 59.9 015 8 4 6.5 3.6 | 16.1 61.0 060 4 2 5.8 3.2
9000 16.2 61.2 015 8 4 11.4 6.2 | 16.7 62.1 065 5 2 11.2 6.1
8750 17.1 62.8 020 8 4 12.9 7.1 | 17.6 63.7 065 5 3 12.8 7.0
8500 18.0 64.4 020 8 4 9.4 5.2 | 18.5 65.3 065 5 3 9.4 5.2
8250 18.5 65.3 020 8 4 6.4 3.5 | 19.1 66.4 065 5 3 6.4 3.5
8000 19.1 66.4 025 8 4 10.2 5.6 | 19.6 67.3 065 5 3 10.1 5.6
7750 20.0 68.0 025 8 4 12.7 7.0 | 20.6 69.1 070 6 3 12.5 6.8
7500 20.9 69.6 025 8 4 9.7 5.3 | 21.4 70.5 070 6 3 9.4 5.1
7250 21.5 70.7 030 8 4 8.2 4.5 | 22.0 71.6 070 6 3 7.7 4.2
7000 22.2 72.0 030 8 4 10.6 5.8 | 22.6 72.7 070 6 3 10.1 5.5
6750 23.1 73.6 030 9 4 12.4 6.8 | 23.5 74.3 070 7 3 12.3 6.7
6500 23.9 75.0 030 9 4 10.5 5.8 | 24.3 75.7 070 7 3 10.6 5.8
6250 24.7 76.5 035 9 4 11.0 6.0 | 25.1 77.2 070 7 3 10.7 5.9
6000 25.5 77.9 035 8 4 8.1 4.5 | 25.9 78.6 070 7 3 8.1 4.5
5750 26.2 79.2 035 8 4 14.0 7.7 | 26.5 79.7 070 7 3 10.5 5.8
5500 27.9 82.2 035 8 4 32.3 17.7 | 27.7 81.9 065 6 3 22.5 12.4
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC) and again by approximately 1830 MST/1930 MDT (0130 UTC). It is not
continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near the old Stapleton
Airport site in Denver, Colorado at
North Latitude: 39 deg 46 min 5.016 sec
West Longitude: 104 deg 52 min 9.984 sec
Elevation: 5285 feet (1611 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page. To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
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