Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
575
UXUS97 KBOU 031253
SRGBOU
Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder, Colorado
0650 MDT Sunday, August 3, 2025
This forecast is for Sunday, August 3, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 80.9 F/27.1 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1463 ft/min (7.4 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 20293 ft MSL (14992 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 89.0 F/32.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12398 ft MSL (7097 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 08/04....... Excellent
Wave Soaring Index............................. Poor
Wave Soaring Index trend (to 1800 MDT).........
Height of stable layer (12-18K ft MSL)......... None
Weak PVA/NVA (through 1800 MDT)................ Neither
Potential height of wave....................... 21797 ft MSL (16496 ft AGL)
Wave soaring outlook for Monday 08/04.......... Poor
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:00:55 / 20:10:22 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 9 min 27 sec (849 min 27 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:05:39 MDT... 67.48 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 08/03/2025 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 15101 ft MSL (9800 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 15464 ft MSL (10163 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16407 ft MSL (11106 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.8
K index......................... +22.1
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -58.7 -73.7 290 24 12 3.8 2.1 M M M M M
45000 -52.3 -62.1 290 48 24 4.4 2.4 M M M M M
40000 -46.0 -50.8 295 64 33 0.7 0.4 M M M M M
38000 -45.4 -49.7 295 64 33 1.0 0.5 M M M M M
36000 -44.9 -48.8 290 65 33 1.0 0.6 M M M M M
34000 -42.9 -45.2 290 56 29 4.4 2.4 M M M M M
32000 -39.9 -39.8 290 42 22 4.4 2.4 M M M M M
30000 -35.7 -32.3 290 34 18 7.9 4.3 39.3 102.7 5.8 M M
29000 -33.3 -27.9 290 31 16 7.9 4.3 38.6 101.4 5.3 M M
28000 -31.0 -23.8 295 28 14 7.9 4.3 38.0 100.4 4.9 M M
27000 -28.6 -19.5 295 25 13 7.9 4.3 37.2 98.9 4.3 M M
26000 -26.3 -15.3 295 23 12 7.9 4.3 36.4 97.6 3.7 M M
25000 -23.9 -11.0 300 21 11 7.9 4.3 35.8 96.5 3.3 M M
24000 -21.7 -7.1 300 23 12 7.3 4.0 34.9 94.8 2.6 M M
23000 -19.5 -3.1 300 27 14 7.3 4.0 34.0 93.2 1.9 M M
22000 -17.3 0.9 300 31 16 7.4 4.0 33.2 91.8 1.2 M M
21000 -15.0 5.0 295 32 16 7.7 4.2 32.4 90.3 0.5 M M
20000 -12.7 9.1 295 32 17 7.8 4.3 31.7 89.1 -0.1 1442 7.3
19500 -11.6 11.1 295 32 17 7.7 4.2 31.4 88.5 -0.4 1393 7.1
19000 -10.4 13.3 295 32 17 8.7 4.8 31.1 88.0 -0.7 1342 6.8
18500 -9.1 15.6 295 31 16 8.8 4.8 30.9 87.7 -0.9 1288 6.5
18000 -7.8 18.0 300 30 16 8.8 4.9 30.8 87.4 -1.0 1235 6.3
17500 -6.5 20.3 300 29 15 9.0 5.0 30.6 87.2 -1.2 1181 6.0
17000 -5.2 22.6 300 28 14 9.1 5.0 30.5 86.9 -1.3 1127 5.7
16500 -3.3 26.1 300 26 13 8.8 4.8 30.3 86.5 -1.6 1046 5.3
16000 -2.0 28.4 300 25 13 8.8 4.8 30.1 86.2 -1.8 993 5.0
15500 -0.7 30.7 300 23 12 8.3 4.6 29.9 85.9 -2.0 941 4.8
15000 0.5 32.9 295 21 11 8.3 4.6 29.7 85.4 -2.3 889 4.5
14500 1.8 35.2 295 19 10 9.1 5.0 29.5 85.1 -2.5 837 4.3
14000 3.1 37.6 295 17 9 9.1 5.0 29.4 84.9 -2.6 782 4.0
13500 4.4 39.9 295 15 8 9.2 5.1 29.3 84.8 -2.8 726 3.7
13000 5.8 42.4 290 14 7 9.2 5.1 29.2 84.6 -2.9 671 3.4
12500 7.2 45.0 290 13 7 9.2 5.0 29.2 84.5 -3.0 616 3.1
12000 8.5 47.3 290 12 6 9.1 5.0 29.0 84.3 -3.1 561 2.8
11500 9.8 49.6 290 11 6 9.0 4.9 29.0 84.1 -3.3 506 2.6
11000 11.1 52.0 290 10 5 8.5 4.7 28.8 83.8 -3.5 452 2.3
10500 12.4 54.3 285 9 5 3.9 2.1 28.7 83.6 -3.7 399 2.0
10250 12.5 54.5 285 9 4 4.9 2.7 28.0 82.4 -4.3 389 2.0
10000 13.3 55.9 285 8 4 12.0 6.6 28.1 82.5 -4.3 359 1.8
9750 14.0 57.2 280 8 4 10.9 6.0 28.1 82.7 -4.2 328 1.7
9500 14.8 58.6 275 7 4 9.3 5.1 28.2 82.8 -4.2 297 1.5
9250 15.4 59.7 270 7 4 7.0 3.8 28.1 82.5 -4.4 273 1.4
9000 15.9 60.6 265 7 4 9.1 5.0 27.9 82.3 -4.6 249 1.3
8750 16.7 62.1 260 7 4 10.4 5.7 27.9 82.3 -4.6 220 1.1
8500 17.4 63.3 255 7 4 9.1 5.0 28.0 82.3 -4.6 191 1.0
8250 18.0 64.4 250 8 4 8.1 4.5 27.8 82.1 -4.7 165 0.8
8000 18.6 65.5 250 8 4 8.5 4.7 27.7 81.9 -4.9 140 0.7
7750 19.2 66.6 245 9 5 8.4 4.6 27.6 81.8 -5.0 115 0.6
7500 19.7 67.5 240 9 5 6.7 3.7 27.5 81.5 -5.2 92 0.5
7250 20.1 68.2 235 10 5 5.3 2.9 27.2 80.9 -5.6 73 0.4
7000 20.5 68.9 230 11 6 6.6 3.6 26.9 80.4 -6.0 54 0.3
6750 20.9 69.6 225 13 6 3.6 2.0 26.6 79.9 -6.3 34 0.2
6500 20.9 69.6 230 13 7 -2.4 -1.3 25.9 78.6 -7.0 27 0.1
6250 20.7 69.3 235 12 6 -2.4 -1.3 24.9 76.8 -8.0 26 0.1
6000 20.5 68.9 240 12 6 -6.4 -3.5 23.9 75.1 -9.0 25 0.1
5750 19.5 67.1 235 10 5 -17.7 -9.7 22.3 72.1 -10.7 47 0.2
5500 17.8 64.0 225 8 4 -23.1 -12.7 19.9 67.9 -13.1 90 0.5
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
08/03/2025 at 0900 MDT | 08/03/2025 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +196.1 LI... -0.9 | CAPE... +544.2 LI... -3.3
CINH... -205.5 K Index... +20.0 | CINH... -24.8 K Index... +21.9
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -58.5 -73.3 290 24 12 3.8 2.1 | -58.8 -73.8 270 17 9 3.9 2.2
45000 -52.8 -63.0 295 48 25 3.1 1.7 | -53.5 -64.3 295 39 20 2.0 1.1
40000 -48.1 -54.6 305 72 37 2.9 1.6 | -50.2 -58.4 315 80 41 5.3 2.9
38000 -46.3 -51.3 305 70 36 2.9 1.6 | -47.1 -52.8 315 80 41 5.2 2.8
36000 -44.6 -48.3 305 68 35 3.0 1.6 | -44.0 -47.2 315 81 42 5.2 2.8
34000 -41.8 -43.2 305 59 31 5.3 2.9 | -40.9 -41.6 315 72 37 5.0 2.7
32000 -38.2 -36.8 305 47 24 5.3 2.9 | -37.6 -35.7 310 57 29 4.9 2.7
30000 -34.2 -29.6 305 38 20 6.9 3.8 | -33.7 -28.7 310 47 24 6.8 3.8
29000 -32.2 -26.0 305 34 18 6.9 3.8 | -31.6 -24.9 310 43 22 6.9 3.8
28000 -30.1 -22.2 305 31 16 7.1 3.9 | -29.6 -21.3 305 39 20 7.1 3.9
27000 -27.9 -18.2 305 29 15 7.4 4.0 | -27.3 -17.1 305 36 19 7.4 4.1
26000 -25.7 -14.3 305 28 15 7.4 4.0 | -25.1 -13.2 305 33 17 7.4 4.1
25000 -23.5 -10.3 305 27 14 7.4 4.1 | -22.9 -9.2 305 30 15 7.5 4.1
24000 -21.4 -6.5 305 28 14 6.7 3.7 | -20.9 -5.6 305 28 15 6.4 3.5
23000 -19.4 -2.9 305 29 15 6.7 3.7 | -19.1 -2.4 305 27 14 6.4 3.5
22000 -17.4 0.7 305 30 15 7.0 3.8 | -17.2 1.0 305 27 14 6.5 3.6
21000 -15.1 4.8 305 29 15 8.0 4.4 | -15.0 5.0 305 28 14 7.3 4.0
20000 -12.7 9.1 310 28 15 8.0 4.4 | -12.9 8.8 305 30 15 7.3 4.0
19500 -11.6 11.1 310 28 14 8.1 4.4 | -11.8 10.8 305 31 16 7.2 4.0
19000 -10.4 13.3 310 27 14 7.8 4.3 | -10.6 12.9 305 31 16 8.4 4.6
18500 -9.2 15.4 310 26 14 7.9 4.3 | -9.4 15.1 305 31 16 8.4 4.6
18000 -8.1 17.4 310 26 13 8.1 4.4 | -8.2 17.2 305 30 15 8.3 4.6
17500 -6.8 19.8 310 25 13 8.4 4.6 | -7.0 19.4 305 30 15 8.2 4.5
17000 -5.6 21.9 310 25 13 8.4 4.6 | -5.2 22.6 310 29 15 8.3 4.5
16500 -4.3 24.3 310 24 12 8.9 4.9 | -4.0 24.8 310 28 14 8.4 4.6
16000 -2.4 27.7 310 23 12 8.9 4.9 | -2.8 27.0 310 27 14 8.5 4.7
15500 -1.1 30.0 310 22 11 9.1 5.0 | -1.5 29.3 310 26 13 9.2 5.0
15000 0.2 32.4 310 21 11 9.1 5.0 | -0.2 31.6 310 24 12 9.1 5.0
14500 1.5 34.7 310 20 10 8.8 4.8 | 1.2 34.2 310 23 12 9.3 5.1
14000 2.8 37.0 310 19 10 8.8 4.8 | 2.5 36.5 310 21 11 9.3 5.1
13500 4.1 39.4 310 18 9 9.2 5.1 | 3.9 39.0 315 20 10 9.0 5.0
13000 5.5 41.9 310 17 9 9.4 5.1 | 5.2 41.4 315 19 10 8.9 4.9
12500 6.9 44.4 310 16 8 9.3 5.1 | 6.5 43.7 320 19 10 8.6 4.7
12000 8.3 46.9 310 16 8 9.2 5.0 | 7.7 45.9 325 18 9 8.4 4.6
11500 9.6 49.3 310 15 8 9.1 5.0 | 9.0 48.2 325 17 9 8.2 4.5
11000 11.0 51.8 310 15 8 8.7 4.8 | 10.1 50.2 330 17 9 7.8 4.3
10500 12.3 54.1 310 14 7 3.8 2.1 | 11.3 52.3 335 16 8 4.3 2.3
10250 12.4 54.3 310 14 7 4.3 2.3 | 11.5 52.7 335 16 8 5.2 2.9
10000 13.1 55.6 310 14 7 11.9 6.5 | 12.2 54.0 340 16 8 10.9 6.0
9750 14.0 57.2 315 14 7 11.6 6.4 | 12.9 55.2 340 16 8 10.1 5.5
9500 14.8 58.6 315 14 7 8.8 4.8 | 13.6 56.5 345 15 8 8.1 4.4
9250 15.3 59.5 315 14 7 5.6 3.1 | 14.1 57.4 345 15 8 6.1 3.3
9000 15.8 60.4 320 14 7 8.3 4.6 | 14.6 58.3 350 14 7 8.2 4.5
8750 16.4 61.5 320 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 15.2 59.4 360 13 6 9.2 5.0
8500 17.1 62.8 325 14 7 7.5 4.1 | 15.8 60.4 005 12 6 9.5 5.2
8250 17.5 63.5 325 14 7 6.1 3.3 | 16.5 61.7 005 12 6 10.1 5.5
8000 18.0 64.4 330 14 7 6.8 3.7 | 17.2 63.0 005 11 6 9.5 5.2
7750 18.5 65.3 330 14 7 6.4 3.5 | 17.9 64.2 005 11 6 9.4 5.1
7500 18.9 66.0 335 14 7 4.4 2.4 | 18.6 65.5 005 11 6 10.0 5.5
7250 19.1 66.4 340 14 7 3.4 1.9 | 19.4 66.9 005 11 6 10.5 5.8
7000 19.4 66.9 340 14 7 4.1 2.2 | 20.1 68.2 010 11 6 9.7 5.3
6750 19.6 67.3 345 15 8 2.3 1.3 | 20.8 69.4 010 11 6 9.6 5.3
6500 19.6 67.3 345 13 7 0.5 0.3 | 21.6 70.9 010 11 5 10.6 5.8
6250 19.6 67.3 345 11 6 0.3 0.2 | 22.4 72.3 010 10 5 10.2 5.6
6000 19.5 67.1 345 9 5 1.7 0.9 | 23.2 73.8 010 10 5 11.6 6.4
5750 19.9 67.8 345 8 4 10.8 5.9 | 24.3 75.7 010 10 5 19.1 10.5
5500 21.1 70.0 345 7 4 21.5 11.8 | 26.0 78.8 010 10 5 27.4 15.0
08/03/2025 at 1500 MDT | 08/03/2025 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +397.8 LI... -2.9 | CAPE... +218.3 LI... -1.8
CINH... -17.1 K Index... +26.8 | CINH... -49.6 K Index... +24.8
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -59.6 -75.3 285 23 12 3.8 2.1 | -61.4 -78.5 300 27 14 2.3 1.2
45000 -54.7 -66.5 300 45 23 2.3 1.2 | -57.2 -71.0 305 47 24 3.5 1.9
40000 -50.8 -59.4 315 81 41 5.5 3.0 | -51.6 -60.9 305 66 34 5.6 3.1
38000 -47.5 -53.5 315 83 43 5.6 3.1 | -48.2 -54.8 310 69 36 5.7 3.1
36000 -44.1 -47.4 315 85 44 5.5 3.0 | -44.8 -48.6 310 72 37 5.5 3.0
34000 -40.3 -40.5 315 80 41 6.7 3.7 | -40.5 -40.9 315 70 36 7.4 4.1
32000 -35.8 -32.4 315 71 37 6.7 3.7 | -35.5 -31.9 320 67 34 7.6 4.2
30000 -32.1 -25.8 315 60 31 6.1 3.3 | -31.1 -24.0 320 58 30 7.4 4.0
29000 -30.2 -22.4 310 55 28 6.1 3.3 | -28.9 -20.0 320 53 27 7.4 4.0
28000 -28.4 -19.1 310 49 25 7.1 3.9 | -26.7 -16.1 320 49 25 6.7 3.7
27000 -26.1 -15.0 310 46 23 7.6 4.1 | -24.7 -12.5 315 45 23 6.6 3.6
26000 -23.8 -10.8 310 42 22 7.6 4.1 | -22.7 -8.9 315 42 22 6.6 3.6
25000 -21.6 -6.9 305 39 20 7.5 4.1 | -20.7 -5.3 310 39 20 6.6 3.6
24000 -19.4 -2.9 305 37 19 7.4 4.0 | -18.8 -1.8 305 38 19 6.5 3.6
23000 -17.2 1.0 305 35 18 7.4 4.1 | -16.8 1.8 305 36 19 6.5 3.6
22000 -15.0 5.0 300 33 17 6.9 3.8 | -14.9 5.2 300 35 18 6.8 3.7
21000 -13.3 8.1 300 32 17 5.6 3.1 | -12.8 9.0 295 36 18 7.1 3.9
20000 -11.6 11.1 300 32 16 5.7 3.1 | -10.7 12.7 290 36 19 7.2 4.0
19500 -10.8 12.6 300 31 16 5.5 3.0 | -9.6 14.7 290 37 19 7.2 3.9
19000 -9.8 14.4 300 31 16 8.5 4.7 | -8.4 16.9 290 36 19 8.7 4.8
18500 -8.6 16.5 300 31 16 8.3 4.5 | -7.2 19.0 285 35 18 8.6 4.7
18000 -7.4 18.7 300 31 16 8.6 4.7 | -5.9 21.4 285 35 18 8.4 4.6
17500 -6.1 21.0 295 30 15 8.9 4.9 | -4.8 23.4 285 33 17 8.2 4.5
17000 -4.8 23.4 295 29 15 9.0 4.9 | -3.1 26.4 285 30 15 8.5 4.7
16500 -2.9 26.8 295 26 13 8.9 4.9 | -1.8 28.8 285 27 14 8.6 4.7
16000 -1.6 29.1 295 24 12 8.9 4.9 | -0.6 30.9 285 24 12 8.7 4.8
15500 -0.4 31.3 295 22 11 8.7 4.8 | 0.7 33.3 290 21 11 9.1 5.0
15000 0.9 33.6 300 20 10 8.8 4.8 | 2.1 35.8 290 19 10 9.2 5.0
14500 2.1 35.8 300 17 9 7.9 4.3 | 3.3 37.9 290 16 8 8.2 4.5
14000 3.2 37.8 305 15 8 8.0 4.4 | 4.5 40.1 295 13 7 8.3 4.6
13500 4.4 39.9 315 13 6 7.6 4.2 | 5.7 42.3 295 10 5 7.4 4.0
13000 5.5 41.9 325 10 5 7.6 4.2 | 6.8 44.2 305 7 4 7.2 3.9
12500 6.6 43.9 345 9 5 7.8 4.3 | 7.8 46.0 320 4 2 7.2 3.9
12000 7.7 45.9 350 9 4 8.0 4.4 | 8.8 47.8 350 3 1 7.2 4.0
11500 8.9 48.0 360 9 4 8.8 4.8 | 9.8 49.6 025 3 2 8.1 4.4
11000 10.2 50.4 360 9 4 9.2 5.0 | 11.1 52.0 030 3 2 8.5 4.7
10500 11.6 52.9 360 9 4 4.4 2.4 | 12.4 54.3 030 4 2 4.7 2.6
10250 11.8 53.2 360 9 5 6.4 3.5 | 12.6 54.7 030 4 2 6.4 3.5
10000 12.7 54.9 360 9 5 14.0 7.7 | 13.4 56.1 030 4 2 12.8 7.0
9750 13.7 56.7 360 9 5 12.5 6.9 | 14.3 57.7 030 4 2 11.7 6.4
9500 14.6 58.3 360 9 5 9.5 5.2 | 15.1 59.2 030 4 2 9.5 5.2
9250 15.1 59.2 360 9 5 7.0 3.8 | 15.7 60.3 030 4 2 7.5 4.1
9000 15.8 60.4 360 9 5 11.0 6.0 | 16.3 61.3 030 4 2 10.3 5.6
8750 16.7 62.1 360 9 5 12.3 6.8 | 17.2 63.0 030 4 2 11.1 6.1
8500 17.5 63.5 360 9 5 10.2 5.6 | 18.0 64.4 025 4 2 10.3 5.6
8250 18.2 64.8 360 9 5 8.9 4.9 | 18.7 65.7 025 4 2 9.9 5.4
8000 18.9 66.0 360 9 5 10.1 5.5 | 19.4 66.9 025 4 2 10.0 5.5
7750 19.7 67.5 360 9 5 10.8 5.9 | 20.2 68.4 025 4 2 10.0 5.5
7500 20.5 68.9 360 9 5 10.2 5.6 | 21.0 69.8 025 4 2 10.1 5.6
7250 21.2 70.2 360 9 5 10.0 5.5 | 21.7 71.1 020 4 2 10.2 5.6
7000 22.0 71.6 360 9 5 10.2 5.6 | 22.5 72.5 020 4 2 10.1 5.5
6750 22.8 73.0 360 9 5 10.5 5.8 | 23.2 73.8 020 4 2 9.9 5.5
6500 23.6 74.5 360 9 5 10.5 5.8 | 24.0 75.2 020 4 2 10.0 5.5
6250 24.3 75.7 360 9 5 10.3 5.6 | 24.7 76.5 020 4 2 9.9 5.4
6000 25.1 77.2 360 9 5 11.0 6.0 | 25.5 77.9 015 4 2 10.5 5.8
5750 26.1 79.0 360 9 4 18.3 10.1 | 26.4 79.5 015 4 2 14.6 8.0
5500 27.9 82.2 360 8 4 28.2 15.5 | 27.6 81.7 015 4 2 19.3 10.6
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC) and again by approximately 1830 MST/1930 MDT (0130 UTC). It is not
continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near the old Stapleton
Airport site in Denver, Colorado at
North Latitude: 39 deg 46 min 5.016 sec
West Longitude: 104 deg 52 min 9.984 sec
Elevation: 5285 feet (1611 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page. To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613