Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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256
FNUS75 KBOU 050427
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Mule Creek RX...BLM
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
927 PM MST Tue Feb 4 2025

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Scattered snow showers will be possible through the
day and into Wednesday night. Any snow accumulation would be an
inch or less in the region. Winds will gust out of the southwest,
with some gusts near 30-35 mph. Good to very good smoke dispersal
is expected Wednesday. Both the snow and wind should diminish
overnight Wednesday, with drier weather for Thursday. Winds are
expected to increase a bit Thursday afternoon, with fair to good
dispersal forecast.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 1000, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    snow after 0800 until 1000, then chance of
                    snow.
CWR.................12 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 40.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 13 to 21 mph with gusts to
                    around 33 mph.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL until 1700, then 1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph until 1000. West around
                    22 mph after 1700.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then good until 1100, then
                    very good until 1600, then good until 1700,
                    then poor.

TIME (MST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33  35  43  51  55  55  57  60  62  62  59
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   10
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  20  30  30  30  40  40  40  40  40
Temp............31  30  32  34  37  39  40  37  37  36  33
RH..............57  63  58  54  48  46  46  54  54  55  62
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..13  13  14  15  17  20  21  21  21  18  21
20 FT wind gust.21  21  24  25  26  29  31  32  32  32  33
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.1 3.1 3.6 4.0 4.4 4.5 4.9 4.6 3.2 1.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.22  20  24  30  31  30  31  33  33  29  22
Vrate kt-ft/1K..21  19  65  93  108 113 121 143 135 81  30
SmokeDispersion.P   P   G   G   VG  VG  VG  VG  VG  G   P

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 0500, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of snow
                    until 0500.
CWR.................12 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 27.
Max humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 17 mph with gusts to
                    around 28 mph until 0500, then around 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 18 to 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........59  59  60  63  64  63  62  61  60  57  54  48
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40  40  40  40  30  30  30  30  30  30  10
Temp............34  34  33  33  33  31  31  31  32  31  31  30
RH..............62  62  64  64  63  65  62  59  59  58  59  61
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..17  14  13  12  12  10  9   9   8   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.28  23  21  20  18  16  15  14  13  13  14  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  W   W   W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.22  21  22  21  21  21  26  24  22  21  20  18
Vrate kt-ft/1K..24  21  23  19  22  21  26  24  22  20  18  16
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 1100, then
                    mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................3 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 40.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL until 1100, then 4000 ft AGL until
                    1700, then 1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 18 mph until 1700, then light.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then fair until 1100, then
                    good until 1500, then fair until 1600, then
                    poor.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46  44  42  36  29  23  21  20  18  19  21  22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0
Temp............29  29  29  31  35  37  39  40  39  38  36  35
RH..............63  62  60  55  48  43  41  38  38  40  43  46
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  9   7   6
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  15  17  20  21  22  22  20  16  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.2 1.2 2.2 3.2 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.7 3.5 2.4 1.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.16  15  13  15  16  18  18  17  17  14  10  7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15  15  14  28  47  68  69  69  70  42  21  7
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   F   G   G   G   G   F   P   P

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Colder, snow. Lows around 17. Highs in the mid 20s. West winds
around 12 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows around 4. Highs in the mid
20s. West winds around 5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Hiris
Requested by...Dale Nakai
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2502279.0/BOU
.DELDT 02/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rboufford@blm.gov,dnakai@blm.gov,bhusby@blm.gov