Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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036
FNUS75 KBOU 140425
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Mud Gulch...Pueblo Interagency Dispatch Center
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
1025 PM MDT Wed Aug 13 2025

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM MDT THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...Mostly clear with areas of smoke.  Humidity recovery
overnight near 50 percent.  West winds 6 to 10 mph until 0300, then
northwest 6 to 10 mph.

On Thursday, mostly sunny until 1200, then mostly cloudy with a chance
of rain showers and a slight chance of dry thunderstorms. Minimum
humidity will be 15 percent in the afternoon.  Variable winds around
5 mph until 1200, then southwest 6 to 12 mph.  Gusty and erractic winds
up to 40 mph near thunderstorms.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Areas of smoke.
CWR.................3 percent.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 10 mph until 0300, then northwest 6 to
                    10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........22  17  12  11  18  20  17
Weather cov.....ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS
Weather type....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  53  52  51  49  49  49
RH..............45  46  46  48  50  48  46
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   6   7   7   7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   5   5   5   6   6   6
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Areas of smoke
                    until 1200. Chance of rain showers and slight
                    chance of dry thunderstorms after 1200.
CWR.................6 percent.
Chance of thunder...25 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable winds up to 5 mph until 1200, then southwest
                    6 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0900, then 2200 ft AGL
                    until 1000, then 7700 ft AGL until 1100, then
                    12400 ft AGL until 1600, then 6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 10 mph until 0800, then 8 to 9
                    mph until 1000, then west until 1200, then
                    southwest 8 to 13 mph until 1700, then
                    northwest around 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then fair until 1200, then
                    good.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  23  21  17  21  36  55  57  56  64  64  63
Weather cov.....ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  30  30  30
Temp............49  52  57  63  68  72  75  76  75  74  72  70
RH..............46  43  38  32  25  19  16  15  15  17  19  22
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   NW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   SW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   2   3   6   7   7   10  10  8
20 FT wind gust.6   6   3   3   3   6   9   12  12  16  16  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.8 0.9 2.2 7.7 11  12  13  13  11  6.6 6.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   10  13  12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   5   5   11  39  54  75  79  92  87  72  61
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   F   G   G   G   G   G   G

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2200, then
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of dry thunderstorms
                    until 2100, then slight chance of rain showers
                    until 2400.
CWR.................6 percent.
Chance of thunder...17 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 7 mph until 1900, then
                    southwest 5 to 8 mph until 2100, then west
                    until 2300, then around 6 mph until 2400, then
                    northwest 5 to 7 mph until 0300, then around 5
                    mph until 0500, then variable up to 5 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms until 2100.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL until 1900. Below 1000 FT AGL after
                    2000.
Transport winds.....West around 9 mph until 1900, then light until
                    2100, then north around 8 mph until 2200, then
                    west 8 to 11 mph until 0200, then northwest 8
                    to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900, then poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........63  76  70  61  50  50  26  24  22  20  23  26
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).20  20  20  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............67  63  61  59  56  55  54  53  52  51  50  49
RH..............28  34  38  42  47  49  48  48  50  52  52  54
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.12  9   9   9   9   9   9   9   8   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...5.6 1.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.W   SW  N   N   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.9   6   6   8   9   9   8   8   7   7   7   7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..45  9   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SmokeDispersion.F   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 1100, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
CWR.................1 percent increasing to 43 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of thunder...51 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable up to 5 mph until 1100, then southwest
                    5 to 12 mph until 1500, then 8 to 13 mph until
                    1700, then west around 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0700, then 2800 ft AGL
                    until 1000, then 5400 ft AGL until 1100, then
                    8000 ft AGL until 1200, then 10300 ft AGL until
                    1400, then 5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 10 mph until 0800, then west 8
                    to 9 mph until 1000, then southwest 8 to 10 mph
                    until 1200, then 8 to 16 mph until 1600, then
                    west 11 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then fair until 1200, then
                    good until 1700, then fair.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........29  29  29  29  49  68  88  88  88  88  88  88
Weather cov.....                        LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   40  40  40  40  40  40
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   40  40  40  50  50  50
Temp............49  52  56  60  65  69  72  72  71  69  67  65
RH..............54  52  49  44  33  26  23  23  25  27  30  35
20 FT wind dir..NW  W   W   W   W   SW  S   S   SW  SW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   2   3   5   7   8   9   10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   6   8   10  14  16  17  18  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.6 2.2 2.9 5.4 8.0 11  9.0 7.4 5.9 5.0 4.2
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   6   7   7   8   10  14  16  14  12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   9   12  14  31  51  74  84  87  82  61  42
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   F   G   G   G   G   G   F

$$
Forecaster...RPK
Requested by...Liz Peterson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519877.0/BOU
.DELDT 08/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL copbc@firenet.gov