Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
437
FNUS75 KBOU 031126
FWSBOU
Spot Forecast for Harris Park RX...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
526 AM MDT Thu Oct 3 2024
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Warm dry conditions will continue for as long as we
can see, at least the next week and maybe another week.
A cold front will bring upslope winds into the project area this
afternoon with some cooling. Temperatures will recover on Friday
with winds likely staying west to southwest. Saturday will be
windier, though the strongest winds will be north of I-70 and in
South Park and the surrounding mountains. It should be breezy in
the project area and could approach Red Flag criteria in the
afternoon.
From Sunday onward for several days, it will remain warm and dry
with lighter west winds. Smoke dispersal should be good to very
good during the late morning and afternoon hours on these days.
There`s a good chance those conditions will last through Friday,
though light winds under a ridge may limit smoke dispersal in the
middle of the week if the ridge builds over us too strongly.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph until 0900, then
variable up to 5 mph until 1100, then southeast
5 to 7 mph until 1300, then east 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0900, then 3200 ft AGL
until 1200, then 6200 ft AGL until 1600, then
3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 13 mph until 0900, then light until
1100, then southwest 8 to 11 mph until 1500,
then southeast around 8 mph until 1600, then
east 8 to 11 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then fair until 1500, then
poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2 2 2 3 3 2 7 7 7 13 15 23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............40 40 43 47 52 58 62 65 65 64 61 57
RH..............36 37 35 32 27 23 20 18 18 20 22 27
20 FT wind dir..W NW NW W SW SE SE SE E E E E
20 FT wind spd..12 9 8 3 3 5 6 6 6 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.18 15 13 6 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 1.0 3.0 3.9 5.3 6.3 6.1 5.1 3.7 2.8
Transp wind dir.W W W N SW W W W SW SE E E
Transp wind spd.12 10 8 5 7 8 9 9 9 8 8 8
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 5 4 4 18 27 42 51 48 36 26 20
SmokeDispersion.P P P P P P F F F P P P
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 6 mph until 1900, then variable
up to 5 mph until 2200, then southwest 5 to 8 mph until
0100, then west 5 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL until 1900, then Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 8 mph until 2100, then southwest until
2300, then west 9 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........25 19 19 14 9 8 5 4 3 2 1 1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............52 46 40 36 35 35 36 37 37 36 36 36
RH..............32 42 52 61 64 64 61 59 59 61 56 54
20 FT wind dir..E SE S S SW SW SW SW W W W W
20 FT wind spd..6 5 5 3 5 6 8 7 7 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.7 6 6 6 7 7 12 12 12 13 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.E E E S SW SW SW W W W W W
Transp wind spd.8 6 5 5 6 9 13 14 15 16 15 12
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13 4 2 2 3 4 6 7 8 8 8 6
SmokeDispersion.P P P P P P P P P P P P
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 12 mph until 1200, then
southwest 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 1000, then 4600 ft AGL
until 1200, then 9000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then fair until 1200, then
good until 1400, then very good until 1600,
then good.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............38 41 46 51 56 61 65 69 71 72 70 67
RH..............48 44 37 30 25 20 17 15 13 13 14 15
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW W W
20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 8 7 6 5 5 5 6 6 5
20 FT wind gust.13 13 13 13 12 9 7 7 7 9 9 7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 2.9 5.3 7.4 8.9 9.6 10 7.4 4.5
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.12 9 9 8 8 10 12 13 13 13 10 9
Haines index....6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 5 5 5 20 48 74 97 106 114 67 36
SmokeDispersion.P P P P P F G G VG VG G P
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds
10-20 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. West
winds 5-10 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest
winds 5-10 mph.
$$
Forecaster...Gimmestad
Requested by...James Pilsmaker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2423025.5/BOU
.DELDT 10/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL james.pilsmaker@usda.gov