Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 041201
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Selleck Pile Burn...FFFD
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
601 AM MDT Fri Apr 4 2025

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...There will be a little more wind this afternoon, but
strong winds are quite unlikely. Afternoon snow showers are
expected to be light, with accumulation of an inch or less. Winds
will be lighter on Saturday, with warmer and drier conditions. The
winds will limit smoke dispersal, but marginally fair conditions
are expected in the afternoon. Sunday and Monday will have better
dispersal with warmer temperatures and just a little bit more
wind.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers until 1300, then snow showers likely.
CWR.................23 percent increasing to 54 percent.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance of thunder...6 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 30.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 8 mph until 1000, then
                    northeast 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 21
                    mph.
Mixing height.......Rising to 3000 ft AGL by 1200.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 13 mph until 1000, then northeast 15
                    to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then fair.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........64  73  77  88  91  94  96  95  95  95  95  95
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  40  50  50  50  50  50
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  30  40  40  50  50  70  70  70  70  60
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............21  22  24  26  27  28  29  29  30  30  29  28
RH..............96  92  81  81  81  81  85  81  78  75  78  78
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   8   9   10  12  12  13  13  13
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   12  13  15  16  18  18  21  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.2 2.1 2.2 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.1 3.0 2.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.9   12  12  12  15  16  17  18  18  20  18  18
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   5   13  21  28  39  42  49  53  52  48  38
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   F   F   F   F   F   P

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of snow showers
                    until 0300, then slight chance of snow showers
                    until 0500.
CWR.................29 percent decreasing to 7 percent overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 16.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 15 mph until 2400, then
                    northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL lowering to 1000 ft AGL by 2100.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 16 mph until 0400, then northwest
                    5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........97  96  95  95  92  91  89  86  85  81  73  68
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............30  30  30  30  30  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).60  50  50  50  40  40  30  30  30  20  20  10
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............28  26  25  25  24  23  22  21  20  19  18  17
RH..............71  74  78  74  77  77  81  81  84  84  84  84
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   NW
20 FT wind spd..10  9   8   7   5   5   3   2   2   3   3   5
20 FT wind gust.16  15  13  12  7   7   6   3   3   6   6   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.1
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  N   N   NE  NE  E   NE  NE  NE  N   NW
Transp wind spd.16  14  10  9   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..34  22  16  13  9   8   7   7   7   8   7   6
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 0800, then
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
CWR.................4 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 38.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North around 5 mph until 1100, then northeast
                    5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......Rising to 4000 ft AGL by 1300.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph until 1100, then north 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1300, then fair.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........60  51  42  36  33  34  35  36  32  28  27  25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............17  18  19  22  25  28  31  33  35  36  37  38
RH..............78  78  73  72  63  55  51  45  44  42  38  36
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   4   4   5   7   8   9   9   8   8
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   7   10  12  13  13  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.4 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.6 4.0 4.1 4.3 4.1 3.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   6   7   8   9   10  12  12  11  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   8   10  12  17  22  29  40  49  51  45  38
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   F   F   F   F   P

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Warmer. Partly cloudy. Lows around 20. Highs around 50. Variable
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 50s. West
winds 5-10 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. West
winds around 10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Gimmestad
Requested by...Greg Gilbert
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2508435.1/BOU
.DELDT 04/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jennifer@emberalliance.org,greg.gilbert@emberalliance.org,kristin@emberalliance.org