Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
615
FNUS75 KBOU 231257
FWSBOU
Spot Forecast for ACB Burn 24-002 Glacier View - Mt Parnassus...DFPC
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
557 AM MST Sat Nov 23 2024
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
The mild conditions will continue today with
temperatures in the 50s. Winds will be increasing throughout the
day with gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon. High level
cloudiness will limit some of the low level mixing today but a few
hours of fair smoke dispersal are expected to develop. No
precipitation will fall.
A low pressure system will bring a chance for snow to the
prescribed burn area on Sunday and Sunday night. 1-3" of snow
accumulation is currently expected through Monday. With gusty
winds expected Sunday and cold air aloft moving in, there will be
a few hours of good smoke dispersal. Otherwise, it will be cooler
and winds will slowly turn from SW to NW.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 1000, then 2600 ft AGL
until 1700, then Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 14 mph until 1200, then 15 to 24
mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then fair until 1600, then
poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........74 65 56 53 56 59 57 54 54 55 53
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............39 40 45 49 54 54 54 55 53 51 49
RH..............21 20 19 17 15 15 16 16 18 19 20
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..9 9 8 9 9 10 13 15 15 14 14
20 FT wind gust.15 15 13 15 15 16 21 24 24 22 22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.2 1.4 0.9
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW SW
Transp wind spd.12 13 10 9 13 20 21 24 22 16 15
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 4 4 9 20 50 52 57 42 20 12
SmokeDispersion.P P P P P F F F F P P
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................3 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 11 to 19 mph with gusts to around 25
mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........50 47 44 46 48 50 47 44 41 44 47 13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............45 45 44 43 43 45 44 43 43 43 42 42
RH..............24 23 24 24 25 25 27 29 31 32 33 33
20 FT wind dir..W W W SW W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..14 14 14 14 14 15 15 16 16 15 14 14
20 FT wind gust.22 22 22 22 22 24 24 25 25 24 22 22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW W W SW W W W W SW W
Transp wind spd.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 16 20 20 20 21
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 3 3 4 7 4 4 3 4 4 4 4
SmokeDispersion.P P P P P P P P P P P P
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of snow
after 1100 until 1700, then snow likely.
CWR.................3 percent increasing to 36 percent.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 44.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around 22
mph until 1500, then 9 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0900, then 2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 21 to 30 mph until 1400, then west 14
to 19 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then good until 1400, then
fair until 1500, then poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22 26 14 24 27 55 55 55 71 81 81 76
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type.... SN SN SN SN SN SN SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 40
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30 30 60
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............40 39 41 43 44 43 43 42 40 38 36 34
RH..............37 44 41 39 39 41 41 44 50 56 62 65
20 FT wind dir..W W SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW
20 FT wind spd..14 14 13 13 12 12 13 12 12 12 10 10
20 FT wind gust.22 22 21 21 18 18 21 18 18 18 16 16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.3 0.6 1.6 2.9 4.2 4.3 3.7 3.1 2.4 1.7 1.0
Transp wind dir.W SW SW SW SW SW W W W W NW NW
Transp wind spd.21 23 25 26 30 28 23 21 17 16 16 15
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 6 14 36 76 100 86 65 47 35 23 13
SmokeDispersion.P P P P G G G G F P P P
$$
Forecaster...Danielson
Requested by...John Sanfilippo
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427111.2/BOU
.DELDT 11/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL john.sanfilippo@state.co.us