Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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813
FNUS75 KBOU 052232
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Thompson River 5...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
Issued by National Weather Service Pueblo CO
332 PM MST Wed Feb 5 2025

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Strong westerly winds gusting from 45 to 55 mph will continue for
the remainder of this afternoon, with gradual weakening expected
through this evening. Humidities in the 30-40% range will improve
into the 50% range through the overnight hours, with maximum
overnight recoveries of around 58%.

Thursday through Sunday...Very strong flow aloft will cover the
forecast area much of the period. Gusty surface winds are expected
the next several days as well, especially on Friday and Friday
night. Snow chances return for the burn area by Friday night, with
generally light accumulations expected through Saturday morning.
There will be another chance for snow Saturday night into Sunday.
Temperatures will be warmer than normal Thursday and Friday, but
will cool off and be below normal for the weekend. Smoke dispersal
will be good and very good in the mountains and foothills during
the afternoon hours all four days and over the plains on just
Saturday and Sunday. Critical fire weather conditions are not
expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
CWR.................6 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 46.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 12 to 20 mph with gusts to around 45
                    mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL until 1700, then Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....West 17 to 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1700, then poor.

TIME (MST)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45  32
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10
Temp............44  43
RH..............41  45
20 FT wind dir..W   W
20 FT wind spd..17  14
20 FT wind gust.45  40
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 0.9
Transp wind dir.W   W
Transp wind spd.26  17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..51  14
SmokeDispersion.F   P

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................2 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 13 mph with gusts to around 37
                    mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 20 mph until 0200, then 20 to 25
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........20  15  14  13  13  11  10  10  10  9   8   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............41  39  39  38  37  37  37  36  35  36  34  34
RH..............46  52  52  52  54  52  52  52  54  52  56  56
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..13  10  10  10  9   9   9   8   8   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.37  33  32  31  31  30  29  28  26  24  22  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  16  17  17  18  20  23  23  22  21
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 44.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 13 mph with gusts to around 28
                    mph until 1700, then southwest around 6 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0900, then 3100 ft AGL
                    until 1700, then Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....West 17 to 24 mph until 1600. Light after 1700.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then good until 1600, then
                    poor.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   12  11  8   11  9   11  9   9   9   11  18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............34  32  33  36  39  42  43  44  44  44  42  38
RH..............56  61  56  47  42  36  33  30  30  32  36  46
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   8   9   9   8   8   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.21  18  20  22  25  28  25  24  23  21  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.2 1.1 1.7 2.5 3.0 3.1 3.4 3.1 2.0 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.20  17  17  21  24  24  23  23  22  18  14  7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0   0   3   20  36  52  61  63  64  50  24  2
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   F   G   G   G   F   P   P

$$
Forecaster...WFO Boulder
Requested by...Melissa McKibben
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2502388.0/BOU
.DELDT 02/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL coftc@firenet.gov