501
FNUS74 KBMX 112030
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Bobo Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
330 PM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 CDT on September 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Much of the rain has moved north of the Bobo Fire for now. Medium to high
rain and thunderstorm chances will continue through the evening before decreasing
around 6-7pm. High rain and thunderstorm chances will increase again early tomorrow
beginning as early as 4 AM and remaining high through the day. This will likely
manifest in several waves of rain/thunderstorms with gaps between each round
vs. a steady rain all day. Gusty winds will be possible with any rain/storm activity.



.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....17.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80  80
Weather cov.....LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC
CWR.............70  70
Temp............74  73
RH..............93  97
20 FT wind dir..S   S
20 FT wind dir..170 170
20 FT wind spd..3   2
20 FT wind gust.10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 1.3
Transp wind dir.S   S
Transp wind spd.8   7
Dispersion idx..21  12
LVORI...........5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Showers likely
                    through the night. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................70 percent decreasing to 20 percent early in
                    the evening, then increasing to 30 percent late
                    in the evening increasing to 60 percent
                    overnight increasing to 70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....4.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........75  74  68  62  62  62  63  66  69  71  78  80
Weather cov.....LKY SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............70  20  20  20  30  30  30  60  60  60  70  70
Temp............73  74  74  73  73  73  72  72  71  71  71  71
RH..............100 97  97  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind dir..180 150 150 150 140 160 150 140 150 150 150 150
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.8   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   7   7   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   6   6   7   7   6   7   7   7   5
Dispersion idx..5   4   3   3   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   2
LVORI...........5   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Showers likely
                    through the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................70 percent decreasing to 60 percent early in
                    the morning, then decreasing to 50 percent late
                    in the morning increasing to 60 percent early
                    in the afternoon increasing to 70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the morning. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 7 mph shifting to the west 7 to
                    8 mph late in the morning.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 27 late in the morning.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........77  75  73  71  62  56  55  52  47  42  39  39
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............70  60  60  60  50  50  50  60  60  60  70  70
Temp............69  71  71  73  76  78  80  82  83  82  83  84
RH..............100 100 100 100 94  88  82  77  72  74  72  70
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW
20 FT wind dir..140 180 210 230 230 240 240 240 250 250 270 240
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   7   7   7   7   8   7   7   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.7 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.6 2.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..2   2   3   3   3   22  24  27  31  26  23  22
LVORI...........9   9   9   9   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Owen
Requested by...Nichols
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2621572.3/BMX
.DELDT 09/11/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0