Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for ORV C/D...Usfs
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
521 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on February 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions are expected across the Talladega National Forest
today, with dewpoints dropping into the teens and perhaps single
digits during the afternoon. MinRH values will drop between 20 and
25 percent as a result, but 20ft winds will be much lighter than
previous days. However, dispersions are expected to be on the
lower side as surface high pressure begins to build overhead
through the afternoon and evening hours. Northeasterly 20 foot winds
will range from 5 to 8 mph this afternoon. The dry airmass will
remain in place for Saturday and Sunday with very light westerly
20 foot winds.

.TODAY...
TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........11     7      11     23     34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0
Temp............20     31     41     45     45
RH..............56     37     25     22     25
20 FT wind......NE 5   NE 5   NE 2   N 2    N 2
20 FT wind gust.10     10     6      6      6
20 FT wind dir..040    040    030    020    020
Mix hgt (ft)....1700   2200   2900   3400   2700
Transport wind..NE 13  NE 9   NE 5   NE 5   NE 5
Dispersion idx..6      4      17     19     15
LVORI...........3      2      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........41     46     39     29     12     20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............39     33     30     28     27     26
RH..............37     49     58     63     65     68
20 FT wind......NE 2   E 2    E 2    E 1    E 1    E 1
20 FT wind gust.6      5      4      2      2      2
20 FT wind dir..030    080    090    100    100    100
Mix hgt (ft)....500    500    500    500    500    500
Transport wind..N 6    E 6    E 6    E 7    E 6    SE 6
Dispersion idx..4      4      4      3      3      3
LVORI...........2      2      3      3      3      3

.SATURDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........25     13     15     18     13     9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............25     32     44     51     53     50
RH..............74     53     36     27     25     29
20 FT wind......E 1    SE 1   S 2    SW 3   W 3    W 2
20 FT wind gust.2      2      5      7      8      6
20 FT wind dir..090    140    190    240    260    260
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1700   3000   4300   4400   3100
Transport wind..SE 6   S 7    S 7    SW 8   W 8    W 7
Dispersion idx..3      3      3      41     42     27
LVORI...........3      3      2      1      1      2

$$
Forecaster...GGoggins
Requested by...Will holt
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2503397.0/BMX
.DELDT 02/21/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0