Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FNUS74 KBMX 120943
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Bobo Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
443 AM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 CDT on September 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Rain is currently ongoing in the area of the fire. Rain and storm
chances will continue this afternoon, with a medium to high
chance of precipitation expected. Temperatures reaching the mid
80s. RH should stay above 70% today, and gusty and erratic winds
will possible near or in any thunderstorms that develop. Sunday is
expected to be drier, with little to no rain expected. RH will
drop to around 50% on Sunday afternoon.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    morning, then showers likely and chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................30 percent increasing to 50 percent late in the
                    morning, then increasing to 60 percent early in
                    the afternoon decreasing to 50 percent late in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the morning. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 7 mph shifting to the west 6 to
                    9 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 22 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 33 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 20 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........74  71  68  62  55  53  52  52  54  50  45
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............30  30  30  50  50  50  60  60  60  50  50
Temp............69  71  73  76  78  80  82  83  83  84  83
RH..............100 100 100 90  88  82  74  72  72  70  72
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  W   SW
20 FT wind dir..170 200 230 240 240 250 250 270 300 260 230
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   3   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 2.2 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.0 2.6 2.2
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.5   6   6   7   7   7   7   8   9   7   6
Dispersion idx..2   3   3   3   19  24  23  31  34  23  17
LVORI...........9   9   9   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of thunderstorms early in
                    the evening. Slight chance of showers in the
                    evening.
CWR.................50 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Dispersion index....4.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........40  43  39  35  34  41  36  29  26  29  33  37
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............50  20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  0   0
Temp............81  79  75  73  73  72  72  72  71  70  70  70
RH..............77  82  94  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   N
20 FT wind dir..220 210 190 220 200 210 240 230 210 230 260 000
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   0
20 FT wind gust.5   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   4   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
Dispersion idx..5   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   6   6   6   9   9   9   9   9   9   10  10

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 32 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 41 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 50 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 23.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........41  37  30  20  16  23  33  42  42  38  33  48
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Temp............70  69  72  75  81  84  86  87  88  89  90  88
RH..............100 100 100 94  77  67  61  57  54  52  50  54
20 FT wind dir..N   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind dir..000 290 280 290 300 300 310 310 300 300 310 310
20 FT wind spd..0   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.7 1.2 2.2 3.4 3.9 4.7 6.1 6.4 5.3 2.6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..2   2   2   3   3   30  34  41  51  54  45  23
LVORI...........10  9   9   9   3   3   3   1   1   1   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Robinson
Requested by...Nichols
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2621572.4/BMX
.DELDT 09/12/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0