Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FNUS74 KBMX 231035
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Lower Shoal A...USFS Shoal Creek
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
435 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on February 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.


.DISCUSSION...

Conditions across the Talladega National Forest today will feature
very light 20ft winds which will result in low dispersions this
afternoon. Clouds will be on the increase today, with MinRH values
expected to drop into the low to mid 30s. Rain chances will
increase during the evening hours tonight with light rainfall
amounts expected. Transport winds this afternoon will be from the
north and northwest.

.TODAY...
TIME (CST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........36     42     45     64     57     72
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      10     10
Temp............28     40     48     52     54     49
RH..............77     52     40     36     34     45
20 FT wind......NW 1   N 2    NW 2   W 2    W 2    W 1
20 FT wind gust.4      5      5      5      6      4
20 FT wind dir..320    350    300    290    290    290
Mix hgt (ft)....700    1600   2200   2600   2900   1100
Transport wind..N 6    N 6    NW 6   NW 6   NW 7   W 5
Dispersion idx..3      3      16     19     25     6
LVORI...........3      2      2      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........77     77     78     77     72     59
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............30     30     20     20     20     20
Temp............46     41     39     40     39     37
RH..............51     61     69     68     71     74
20 FT wind......NW 1   NW 1   N 1    N 1    N 1    NE 1
20 FT wind gust.4      4      4      4      4      4
20 FT wind dir..310    320    010    020    020    040
Mix hgt (ft)....200    300    300    200    200    200
Transport wind..W 3    NW 3   NW 3   N 5    E 3    E 3
Dispersion idx..1      1      1      2      2      2
LVORI...........3      3      3      3      3      3

.MONDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........38     21     20     12     11     12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............36     41     52     58     61     58
RH..............81     72     53     43     41     45
20 FT wind......E 2    E 2    E 2    S 2    SW 2   W 2
20 FT wind gust.5      5      5      5      6      6
20 FT wind dir..070    070    100    170    220    250
Mix hgt (ft)....200    800    1700   2600   3100   2300
Transport wind..E 3    NE 3   E 3    S 3    W 6    W 6
Dispersion idx..2      2      2      11     22     16
LVORI...........4      4      2      2      2      2

$$
Forecaster...GGoggins
Requested by...aaron radford
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2503511.0/BMX
.DELDT 02/23/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0