301
FNUS74 KBMX 281216
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Barnett...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
716 AM CDT Wed May 28 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 CDT on May 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

The wildfire location near Oakmulgee in northeastern Perry County
will be mostly rain free today with only a low chance of a shower
or storm. MinRH values should drop into the mid 50s this afternoon
with light 20ft winds. More widespread showers and storms are
expected to move into the area by Thursday morning adding
additional wetting rainfall.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 25 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 36 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 51 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 60 decreasing to 46 late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      1 AM   3 AM   5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM
Sky (%).........85     71     63     45     33     37
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20     10     0      0      10     10
Temp............67     69     75     80     84     84
RH..............100    100    84     69     59     59
20 FT wind......W 2    W 2    W 2    W 2    W 2    W 3
20 FT wind gust.7      6      6      6      8      8
20 FT wind dir..250    260    280    270    270    270
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1000   2000   3000   4100   4100
Transport wind..SW 3   W 7    W 8    W 9    W 10   W 9
Dispersion idx..2      3      4      36     54     48
LVORI...........10     9      3      3      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms overnight. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 3 am.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 8 mph shifting to the north around 5
                    mph late in the evening, then shifting to the
                    west overnight shifting to the northeast around
                    3 mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....16 decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM
Sky (%).........37     46     52     68     68     75
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  CHANCE
CWR.............10     0      10     10     20     40
Temp............83     79     72     70     69     68
RH..............59     74     90     93     97     97
20 FT wind......W 2    W 1    W 1    N 0    N 0    N 0
20 FT wind gust.7      5      4      4      4      4
20 FT wind dir..270    280    290    000    000    000
Mix hgt (ft)....1600   300    300    300    300    300
Transport wind..W 8    W 3    NW 5   N 5    W 5    NE 3
Dispersion idx..16     1      1      2      2      2
LVORI...........1      3      7      7      9      10

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning,
                    then showers and thunderstorms likely in the
                    morning. Showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................40 percent increasing to 80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph shifting to the east
                    around 5 mph early in the morning, then
                    shifting to the south 6 to 8 mph late in the
                    morning shifting to the southeast around 9 mph
                    late in the morning shifting to the southwest.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 34.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (CDT)      1 AM   3 AM   5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM
Sky (%).........83     74     71     73     72     69
Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
CWR.............40     60     60     60     80     80
Temp............68     69     73     76     78     79
RH..............97     97     87     76     71     67
20 FT wind......N 1    S 1    S 2    S 2    S 3    SW 3
20 FT wind gust.5      5      6      7      8      10
20 FT wind dir..000    160    160    190    200    210
Mix hgt (ft)....300    700    1200   1800   2100   2400
Transport wind..N 3    E 5    S 8    S 9    SW 9   SW 13
Dispersion idx..2      2      4      21     24     36
LVORI...........10     9      4      4      3      3

$$
Forecaster...GGoggins
Requested by...Alabama Interagency Coordination Center
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2514872.0/BMX
.DELDT 05/28/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0