Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FNUS74 KBMX 050740
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for 916...AlCC
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
140 AM CST Wed Nov 5 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 CST on November 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A dry airmass will be in place through Thursday. Rain showers
and storms will move in Friday evening and through Saturday. MinRH
values will drop into the low to mid 30s today and Wednesday.
Light winds at the surface from the south then southwest, with
transport winds from the southwest to west. Due to the light
nature of the weak surface winds dispersion will not be great
despite mixing levels being around 3000 feet. Conditions remain
roughly the same on Thursday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 6 mph shifting to the southwest 6 to
                    10 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 33 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 40 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 20 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (CST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........4      7      3      3      2      4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............46     62     71     75     76     69
RH..............89     60     41     34     33     47
20 FT wind......E 2    S 2    SW 3   W 3    W 3    W 2
20 FT wind gust.5      6      7      8      8      6
20 FT wind dir..110    190    230    250    250    250
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1200   2900   3400   3200   500
Transport wind..SE 6   SW 7   SW 9   W 10   W 9    W 6
Dispersion idx..3      3      33     43     36     4
LVORI...........6      2      2      1      2      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 6 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
Dispersion index....3.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........3      4      5      5      6      6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............65     57     54     51     48     47
RH..............56     72     80     86     93     96
20 FT wind......W 2    NW 1   NW 1   N 1    N 1    N 1
20 FT wind gust.5      4      4      4      4      4
20 FT wind dir..270    300    310    350    000    010
Mix hgt (ft)....300    400    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..W 6    W 5    W 5    NW 6   N 6    N 6
Dispersion idx..3      2      2      3      3      3
LVORI...........3      3      5      6      6      8

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph shifting to the south
                    around 3 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 20 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 9 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........6      2      2      3      6      9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............45     56     71     76     79     75
RH..............100    74     46     39     34     38
20 FT wind......NE 1   NE 1   NE 2   E 2    SE 2   SE 2
20 FT wind gust.4      4      4      5      5      5
20 FT wind dir..030    040    050    080    120    130
Mix hgt (ft)....400    700    2200   3800   4300   2800
Transport wind..N 5    NE 5   NE 6   NE 5   SE 3   S 3
Dispersion idx..2      2      3      21     18     12
LVORI...........7      7      2      2      2      2

$$
Forecaster...Aaron
Requested by...Erica Fritts
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2524895.3/BMX
.DELDT 11/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0