Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FNUS74 KBMX 231059
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Holland Assist...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
459 AM CST Sat Nov 23 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 CST on November 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Rain-free weather is expected through the weekend. Afternoon minimum
RHs are forecast to be above critical thresholds, reaching the
lower 40s today and middle 30s on Sunday. Overnight recovery will
be at or near 100% for several hours. 20-foot winds will be
lighter than days prior, averaging less than 10 mph from the
northwest today and south on Sunday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Areas of frost early in
                    the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
                    late in the morning, then becoming light late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 24 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 13 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 2 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   6   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2   6
Weather cov.....ARS ARS
Weather type....FST FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............33  34  39  45  49  52  55  56  57  58  56  52
RH..............100 100 89  73  61  54  49  47  47  45  51  61
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind dir..320 330 340 340 340 330 320 320 320 320 320 320
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   3   2   1   1
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   10  10  8   10  8   8   7   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.3 2.3 1.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.8   8   12  12  12  10  9   8   9   8   7   6
Dispersion idx..4   4   5   5   5   24  23  21  26  23  13  2
LVORI...........7   7   7   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Patchy frost after
                    3 am.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 5 mph.
Dispersion index....2.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........7   8   7   10  14  13  10  9   10  11  14  16
Weather cov.....                                    PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....                                    FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............48  43  42  41  40  39  39  39  38  37  37  37
RH..............77  93  93  96  96  100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind dir..000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000
20 FT wind spd..0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.4   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..1   2   2   2   2   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........6   6   6   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy frost early in the
                    morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 18 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 9 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15  14  9   7   3   3   2   2   2   2   4   6
Weather cov.....PTY
Weather type....FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............37  42  46  51  55  59  63  64  65  66  62  57
RH..............100 89  83  66  57  49  43  41  40  38  47  57
20 FT wind dir..N   N   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind dir..000 000 230 230 230 230 230 220 210 200 190 180
20 FT wind spd..0   0   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   2   5   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 1.5 0.9
Transp wind dir.S   SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   5   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8
Dispersion idx..2   2   2   2   3   15  18  18  21  21  15  9
LVORI...........7   7   7   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Satterwhite
Requested by...Troy McFarland
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2427252.0/BMX
.DELDT 11/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0