234
FNUS74 KBMX 010802
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Little Hope...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
302 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 CDT on October 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
RH values will drop into the upper 30s this afternoon with transport
winds out of the east. Dispersion really increases through the
afternoon. Overall conditions will remain very similiar each day
with easterly winds are expected of the next few days. No rain is
in sight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 42 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 53 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 71 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 84 decreasing to 74 late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  28  32  31  33  28  18  13  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   10  10  10  0   0
Temp............72  76  79  82  84  85  86  87  85
RH..............81  69  60  53  48  45  42  39  39
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  E
20 FT wind dir..100 100 090 080 070 060 060 060 070
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.8   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  11
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 2.3 3.8 4.5 5.5 6.2 6.7 6.8 5.7
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.9   8   9   10  8   10  12  12  12
Dispersion idx..4   4   42  55  50  71  84  84  74
LVORI...........6   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming east around 5 mph
                    after 3 am.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....16 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........9   12  10  12  8   8   8   7   7   8   7   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............84  80  76  74  72  71  69  68  67  66  65  65
RH..............41  47  54  59  64  64  68  65  68  70  73  73
20 FT wind dir..E   NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind dir..070 060 060 080 080 080 090 090 090 090 090 090
20 FT wind spd..5   3   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  11  10  10  10  10  10  11  11  11  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.10  8   9   8   9   10  9   10  12  12  12  10
Dispersion idx..16  3   4   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
LVORI...........1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 64 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 81 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 73 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 49.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   4   3   4   4   5   6   6   5   5   4   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............64  63  65  70  75  78  81  82  84  85  84  83
RH..............75  78  78  71  62  56  51  47  43  40  40  41
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind dir..090 090 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 090 090 090
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.13  13  14  14  14  13  13  12  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.2 4.0 4.6 5.0 5.4 5.4 5.0 3.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.10  12  12  14  17  17  16  14  14  13  13  12
Dispersion idx..5   5   5   9   12  64  64  79  84  78  73  49
LVORI...........3   4   4   4   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Aaron
Requested by...AICC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2522703.2/BMX
.DELDT 10/01/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0